Realized P&L
-$1.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
2,533
Trades
6,618
lifetime
Volume
$60.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$743
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 11-01 15:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
64% 55% -$974
Sports
26% 47% -$418
Crypto
6% 65% -$90
Politics
4% 46% -$51
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -146 -$145 99¢ $-145 $0 07-18 06:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +112 $98 94¢ $106 +$8 08-29 16:35
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +103 $81 86¢ $88 +$7 08-21 04:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -113 -$67 62¢ $-70 -$3 07-18 06:38
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -57 -$57 98¢ $-56 +$0 07-18 21:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +57 $35 96¢ $55 +$20 06-15 20:52
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +51 $46 97¢ $50 +$4 06-03 20:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -113 -$46 38¢ $-43 +$3 07-18 06:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +45 $39 94¢ $42 +$3 08-23 23:43
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $25 96¢ $27 +$2 06-12 19:41
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 +$0 09-16 20:22
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$1 08-22 03:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +49 $15 18¢ $9 -$6 07-24 19:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 06-05 15:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-10 14:58
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-22 10:28
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $33 4¢ $5 -$28 08-19 22:36
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -146 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 07-18 06:38
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -57 -$1 2¢ $-1 $0 07-18 21:23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +29 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 09-16 02:26
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 15¢ $1 -$4 06-30 15:02
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-18 01:25
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 $0 09-08 17:22
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 08-24 14:05
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-19 09:20