Unnatural-Vermicelli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$299

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

38% 33% $-0

Crypto

9% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	24	$22	19	20	-2	open	—	02-10 02:58
Trump out as President by May 31?	14	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 07:55
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-24 09:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	7	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-05 06:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-30 06:14
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 06:47
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-29 10:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-22 04:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:27
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 09:10
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 08:02
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:57
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-30 02:28
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:15
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-27 09:02
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 07:48
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:35
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:40
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-21 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:36
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	05-29 06:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 06:12
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:51:31	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0a2fd9…
07-01 02:50:35	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x945107…
07-01 02:39:40	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd764db…
07-01 02:38:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9e3228…
07-01 02:36:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f1dad…
06-30 06:14:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x05ee44…
06-30 04:49:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x47f282…
06-30 04:48:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec3281…
06-29 10:34:49	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2b7ca…
06-29 10:20:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b7733…
06-27 03:13:43	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9f01fa…
06-27 03:12:44	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x74e56e…
06-27 03:07:05	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68b0fe…
06-27 03:05:31	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe21726…
06-26 09:22:05	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4d7383…
06-26 09:21:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x61cc09…
06-26 09:10:44	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73161c…
06-26 09:09:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x535353…
06-24 09:10:26	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0f4ff2…
06-24 09:09:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6009bc…
06-24 07:53:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91c273…
06-24 07:52:58	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa896ba…
06-23 07:46:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b7cc8…
06-23 07:46:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2837e…
06-23 07:29:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f911a…
06-23 07:28:16	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d9009…
06-22 04:00:50	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9e8220…
06-22 04:00:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3e8eb…
06-22 03:44:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b3635…
06-22 03:42:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb78792…
06-21 08:21:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x86edb1…
06-21 08:20:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52766a…
06-21 07:57:22	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4eaf14…
06-21 07:54:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59eefd…
06-18 08:22:46	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd3ab40…
06-18 08:22:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9c1306…
06-18 08:04:43	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x269fcd…
06-18 08:02:20	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6da9e3…
06-17 07:09:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0e6a74…
06-17 07:08:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b75cc…
06-17 07:00:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69006e…
06-17 06:56:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x401041…
06-16 06:19:09	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfa8503…
06-16 06:18:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3ce218…
06-16 04:33:18	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2f0c01…
06-16 04:31:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbdd7bb…
06-15 08:02:43	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe7f17f…
06-15 07:47:04	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x49aa5f…
06-13 06:47:51	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc74faa…
06-13 06:47:06	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7a7d2a…
06-13 05:03:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0a991d…
06-13 05:02:03	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf102f1…
06-12 07:35:18	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc153a9…
06-12 07:34:27	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7a1c2a…
06-12 07:18:31	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e9887…
06-12 07:17:21	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfe135…
06-11 07:36:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb21657…
06-11 07:34:43	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf9425…
06-11 07:09:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe6b2…
06-11 07:06:36	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x154dbc…
06-10 07:35:25	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x41ff0e…
06-10 07:34:46	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0b70e2…
06-10 07:11:09	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x454478…
06-10 07:09:22	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfc72d2…
06-09 07:11:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x678a06…
06-09 06:45:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdbeccc…
06-08 06:33:04	ethereum above 1300 on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa77ede…
06-08 06:32:04	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x537695…
06-08 06:30:01	ethereum above 1300 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc9ef72…
06-08 06:27:54	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe67b01…
06-06 06:12:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x194552…
06-06 04:42:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x77d39a…
06-05 06:22:19	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf78e1b…
06-05 03:58:13	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6ac302…
06-05 03:50:24	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x608080…
06-04 08:36:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x93e445…
06-04 08:16:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x959378…
06-03 07:39:29	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x99e746…
06-03 07:34:57	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05083f…
06-02 04:44:24	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xef7f24…
06-02 04:44:07	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1baced…
06-02 04:34:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x276644…
06-02 04:33:28	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x188b56…
06-01 07:34:06	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4f9a41…
06-01 07:01:25	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe84111…
05-30 02:28:19	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x047822…
05-30 02:27:37	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x10064d…
05-30 02:21:47	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4c39f2…
05-30 02:19:50	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x798761…
05-29 06:24:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd633ee…
05-29 05:00:09	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73f873…
05-29 04:58:48	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9810c8…
05-28 06:26:43	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x931e5b…
05-28 06:25:46	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f6205…
05-28 04:34:43	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9cfd7…
05-28 04:33:56	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9d366…
05-27 09:02:27	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda1dcb…
05-26 07:34:35	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6fc420…
05-26 07:16:38	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63e77d…
05-25 06:46:10	Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb89c34…