Unnatural-Vermicelli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$357

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

39% 33% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	24	$22	19	20	-2	open	—	02-10 02:58
Trump out as President by May 31?	14	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 07:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-16 02:26
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-24 09:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	7	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-05 06:22
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 07:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-30 06:14
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-11 07:16
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 06:47
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-29 10:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-21 06:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:27
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 09:10
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 08:02
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 03:16
will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 07:01
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:50
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 03:18
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:57
trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 04:33
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-30 02:28
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:15
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-27 09:02
will the ornn h200 index hit 4pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171105508	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	07-16 02:18
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:47:25	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2440f9…
07-21 06:47:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x287864…
07-21 06:15:07	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb40b8…
07-21 06:13:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x96399b…
07-20 08:05:12	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd0d7e5…
07-20 07:49:39	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x369b89…
07-17 03:18:16	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8686fe…
07-17 03:03:24	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x209f50…
07-16 02:26:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdbf016…
07-16 02:18:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a1b8c…
07-16 02:18:07	will the ornn h200 index hit 4pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171105508	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x454c2a…
07-15 07:01:25	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7097fe…
07-15 07:00:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb33d08…
07-15 04:50:49	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0defe5…
07-15 04:45:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa7a0e7…
07-14 03:42:14	will the ornn h200 index hit 4pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171105508	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x060a2c…
07-14 03:41:52	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5a8de6…
07-14 03:25:17	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x152a55…
07-14 03:24:29	will the ornn h200 index hit 4pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171105508	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7034e3…
07-13 08:15:10	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2cdee5…
07-13 08:14:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5820f6…
07-13 07:57:29	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02edee…
07-13 07:55:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf397a2…
07-11 07:17:31	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeb8af7…
07-11 07:16:59	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6103d1…
07-11 06:59:17	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc4f776…
07-11 06:58:35	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2adc70…
07-10 06:21:01	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1f37a4…
07-10 06:20:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf43f70…
07-10 04:43:17	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ec008…
07-10 04:42:50	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x68cbda…
07-09 02:21:29	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdac3ce…
07-09 02:20:50	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4aa80a…
07-09 02:14:08	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x832402…
07-09 02:12:46	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34e626…
07-08 04:33:56	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1d8f27…
07-08 04:21:59	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa3430c…
07-08 03:51:13	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8daa9b…
07-08 03:50:17	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8c47a…
07-07 03:33:25	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7fd4ff…
07-07 03:33:04	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16fcc0…
07-07 03:31:31	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1424be…
07-07 03:14:28	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0cbca2…
07-06 06:39:23	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6ef332…
07-06 06:38:49	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbc43a0…
07-06 06:16:23	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x926640…
07-06 06:15:01	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x176880…
07-04 03:16:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab57cc…
07-04 03:16:23	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6d852f…
07-04 03:04:55	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e67f9…
07-04 03:02:34	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x39d9d5…
07-03 08:37:28	untitled market 1 20260626153408309	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe7ffb2…
07-03 08:36:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbc937d…
07-03 08:15:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f3ace…
07-03 08:14:22	untitled market 1 20260626153408309	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12df5f…
07-02 04:35:49	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf55cd0…
07-02 04:34:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x43e22a…
07-02 04:28:10	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x13e35e…
07-02 04:27:43	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x773240…
07-01 02:51:31	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0a2fd9…
07-01 02:50:35	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x945107…
07-01 02:39:40	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd764db…
07-01 02:38:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9e3228…
07-01 02:36:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f1dad…
06-30 06:14:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x05ee44…
06-30 04:49:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x47f282…
06-30 04:48:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec3281…
06-29 10:34:49	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2b7ca…
06-29 10:20:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b7733…
06-27 03:13:43	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9f01fa…
06-27 03:12:44	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x74e56e…
06-27 03:07:05	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68b0fe…
06-27 03:05:31	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe21726…
06-26 09:22:05	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4d7383…
06-26 09:21:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x61cc09…
06-26 09:10:44	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73161c…
06-26 09:09:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x535353…
06-24 09:10:26	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0f4ff2…
06-24 09:09:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6009bc…
06-24 07:53:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91c273…
06-24 07:52:58	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa896ba…
06-23 07:46:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b7cc8…
06-23 07:46:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2837e…
06-23 07:29:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f911a…
06-23 07:28:16	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d9009…
06-22 04:00:50	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9e8220…
06-22 04:00:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3e8eb…
06-22 03:44:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b3635…
06-22 03:42:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb78792…
06-21 08:21:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x86edb1…
06-21 08:20:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52766a…
06-21 07:57:22	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4eaf14…
06-21 07:54:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59eefd…
06-18 08:22:46	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd3ab40…
06-18 08:22:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9c1306…
06-18 08:04:43	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x269fcd…
06-18 08:02:20	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6da9e3…
06-17 07:09:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0e6a74…
06-17 07:08:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b75cc…
06-17 07:00:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69006e…