Barren-Submitter-Analogue 0xdef6f7…54f69a
whale hot 4L streak
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$22.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$341
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
1,318
lifetime
Volume
$1.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.25K
Open exposure
$181.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-28 03:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% -$27,241
Other
41% 70% +$45,051
Crypto
5% 33% +$4,566
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +112,002 $71,681 66¢ $73.4K +$1,680 10-21 15:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36,982 $23,218 68¢ $25.0K +$1,744 10-21 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20,611 $17,810 86¢ $17.7K -$136 10-21 13:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +14,357 $11,270 97¢ $13.9K +$2,642 10-23 22:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +26,200 $10,742 40¢ $10.6K -$131 10-21 16:44
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,610 $6,868 44¢ $6.8K -$78 10-23 00:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,580 94¢ $5.6K +$30 10-19 19:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $4,660 38¢ $3.8K -$810 10-18 19:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 70¢ $3.5K -$25 10-21 02:12
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,277 $3,049 96¢ $3.2K +$102 10-19 23:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,806 $2,949 78¢ $3.0K +$39 10-18 20:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,247 $2,533 72¢ $2.3K -$211 10-18 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,085 $1,892 93¢ $1.9K +$57 10-21 13:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,800 90¢ $1.8K +$10 10-19 10:16
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +17,155 $5,530 11¢ $1.8K -$3,729 10-23 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 70¢ $1.4K +$130 10-20 04:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +3,652 $1,066 30¢ $1.1K +$12 10-20 19:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,000 $950 94¢ $945 -$5 10-27 23:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,588 $681 54¢ $849 +$168 10-21 13:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $650 66¢ $665 +$15 10-20 19:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +400 $348 99¢ $396 +$48 10-20 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $360 86¢ $346 -$14 10-18 19:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +3,300 $264 8¢ $280 +$16 10-21 13:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 88¢ $262 +$4 10-20 18:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +254 $200 93¢ $237 +$37 10-18 19:47
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +200 $174 83¢ $166 -$8 10-18 19:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +376 $113 36¢ $134 +$21 10-28 03:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,368 $142 6¢ $130 -$12 10-20 17:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +5,610 $1,263 2¢ $112 -$1,151 10-25 22:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +779 $148 6¢ $43 -$105 10-22 15:41