Better-Metric-Webmail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-03 11:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

24% 0% $-6

Sports

8% 67% +$20

Crypto

2% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No		-24	$-22	99¢	$-24	$-2	05-28 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-17	$-7	100¢	$-17	$-10	05-28 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nothing Ever Happens: May	4	$80	52	52	+0	open	—	05-28 15:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$30	34	34	+0	open	—	05-11 19:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$22	0	24	-24	open	—	05-28 15:47
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 in May?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-28 15:48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-28 15:47
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-28 15:47
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-11 19:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	06-03 11:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$15	29	29	+0	open	—	06-03 11:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$14	39	39	+0	open	—	06-03 11:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$12	43	43	+0	open	—	06-03 11:20
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 12:56
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-21 10:56
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	05-21 10:56
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-21 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$9	714	714	+0	open	—	05-11 19:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$9	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 19:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$8	217	217	+0	open	—	05-11 19:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$7	38	38	+0	open	—	05-11 19:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	0	17	-17	open	—	05-28 15:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	36	36	+0	open	—	05-11 19:19
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	1	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	05-28 15:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	28	28	+0	open	—	05-11 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$5	132	132	+0	No	$-5	05-11 19:19
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-09 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-25 14:16
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	26	0	+26	Sean Strickland	+$21	05-09 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Down	$-5	05-11 15:43
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	1	$2	17	0	+17	No	$-2	05-09 17:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	33	33	+0	open	—	06-03 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:20:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xfa209c…
06-03 11:20:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0xe066c6…
06-03 11:20:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x1e054d…
06-03 11:20:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x75d301…
06-03 11:20:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0xa0b7be…
05-28 16:02:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe695d7…
05-28 15:58:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x766561…
05-28 15:58:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x52202c…
05-28 15:57:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x116517…
05-28 15:57:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xae19ed…
05-28 15:48:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x7c3b4b…
05-28 15:48:14	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf48135…
05-28 15:48:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 in May?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa19553…
05-28 15:47:57	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x19b9c8…
05-28 15:47:48	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x0168da…
05-28 15:47:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x50ee82…
05-28 15:47:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x097a6e…
05-25 14:19:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4cd289…
05-25 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc6e157…
05-21 10:57:49	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe1212f…
05-21 10:56:46	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xcf7b92…
05-21 10:56:16	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4bf8c4…
05-20 13:18:44	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5fe53…
05-20 13:18:18	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1fd9a6…
05-20 13:17:20	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x13ce92…
05-11 19:32:35	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x91ecae…
05-11 19:28:07	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0eeda1…
05-11 19:20:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x44179f…
05-11 19:19:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc304f2…
05-11 19:19:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x04c8e3…
05-11 19:19:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x9b3690…
05-11 19:19:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	0¢	$0	0xd41697…
05-11 19:17:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	714	1¢	$4	0x4e5113…
05-11 19:15:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$3	0x03eab9…
05-11 19:15:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xd23f23…
05-11 19:14:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x489f5b…
05-11 15:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc6666b…
05-11 12:57:54	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	41	75¢	$31	0x51c69a…
05-11 12:56:13	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb063e0…
05-10 11:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x2c0c3d…
05-10 10:15:27	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xbafac3…
05-09 17:54:44	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x25e53a…
05-09 17:51:35	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x3e0176…
05-09 17:50:21	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x060da2…
05-09 17:46:35	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xff004b…
05-09 17:45:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x847e89…
05-09 17:43:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfe495b…
05-09 17:43:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1e7acb…
05-09 17:42:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x457312…
05-09 17:42:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbb12a9…
05-09 17:41:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6733c0…
05-09 17:38:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xd38872…
05-09 17:36:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x54dae6…
05-09 17:35:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xa638b5…
05-09 17:34:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x112f51…