Realized P&L
-$83
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
15.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
553
lifetime
Volume
$2.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$63
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 06-11 03:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
93% 25% $-83
Other
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +25 $17 72¢ $18 +$0 06-05 06:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +15 $10 67¢ $10 $-1 06-11 01:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-29 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 05-31 09:42
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +8 $7 84¢ $7 +$0 06-08 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 06-04 22:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 55¢ $2 +$0 06-04 19:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 62¢ $-0 +$0 06-05 22:47