Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
19
lifetime
Volume
$33
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Politics
36%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? Yes +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 05-05 19:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $6 56¢ $6 $-0 05-05 21:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? Yes -10 $-5 32¢ $-3 +$1 05-05 16:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +66 $3 $3 $-0 05-05 22:20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +103 $3 $3 $-0 05-05 19:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? No +375 $2 $1 $-1 05-04 23:14