Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

Trades

995

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-02 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 33% +$0

Other

47% 0% $-1

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	45	$229	181	167	+14	open	—	04-09 11:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	64	$193	376	376	+0	open	—	04-30 19:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	53	$178	1,358	92	+1,267	open	—	04-21 18:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$164	824	79	+745	open	—	04-24 06:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	63	$161	314	302	+12	open	—	04-21 18:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	40	$160	479	119	+361	open	—	04-21 18:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	51	$158	199	73	+127	open	—	04-12 10:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	16	$132	147	67	+80	open	—	05-07 21:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	52	$115	200	35	+164	open	—	04-24 01:56
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 00:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	22	$76	91	91	+0	open	—	05-15 23:59
nor lil ik 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	49	$74	129	0	+129	open	—	04-07 16:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	27	$68	102	102	+0	open	—	04-24 12:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	12	$66	798	31	+767	open	—	05-01 00:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	36	$54	59	0	+59	open	—	05-15 21:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	19	$54	103	93	+9	open	—	04-30 11:41
highest temperature in denver on april 9 2026 62forhigher	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	04-07 10:44
highest temperature in singapore on april 7 2026 31c	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	04-07 06:45
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	13	$45	619	11	+609	open	—	04-30 23:13
Spread: IK Start (-2.5)	27	$40	64	0	+64	open	—	04-10 06:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$39	60	30	+31	open	—	04-24 13:06
highest temperature in denver on april 11 2026 60forhigher	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-07 10:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$34	26	26	+0	No	$-1	05-05 00:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$29	95	4	+90	open	—	05-04 20:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 21corhigher	17	$26	124	0	+124	open	—	04-07 05:56
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	16	$24	52	0	+52	open	—	04-21 19:42
nor bog aal 2026 04 18 spread away 2pt5	15	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	04-07 16:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-19 17:50
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)	14	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	04-10 06:33
highest temperature in busan on april 7 2026 20corhigher	13	$20	101	0	+101	open	—	04-07 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 07:41:44	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0xdbcc4f…
06-02 07:41:39	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x35b1fa…
06-02 07:41:23	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x9db15f…
06-02 07:41:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xee1f81…
06-02 07:41:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x6912ac…
06-02 07:40:59	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x6226b2…
06-02 07:40:53	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x1a8a02…
06-02 07:40:43	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x445e02…
06-02 07:40:25	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xd7db77…
06-02 07:39:59	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xedbf30…
06-02 07:39:57	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd1cf2e…
06-02 05:14:11	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x31b37d…
05-29 16:59:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa38cf9…
05-29 16:32:28	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x35cecb…
05-29 16:24:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x7baa8a…
05-19 01:59:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xe4e64d…
05-17 17:32:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x546399…
05-17 17:05:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd59846…
05-17 09:58:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xd860a2…
05-16 22:48:44	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0xaed22e…
05-16 21:22:52	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xf81926…
05-15 23:59:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x5d554a…
05-15 22:40:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xf4dd2d…
05-15 22:23:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0xaa3fae…
05-15 21:09:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf6ab92…
05-15 20:19:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0xe1fba4…
05-11 09:12:37	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc7069b…
05-11 09:11:32	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc3cd86…
05-11 09:11:11	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x88db2a…
05-11 08:50:20	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe488a6…
05-11 08:47:25	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x174df2…
05-11 08:13:25	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x718f63…
05-10 07:56:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6792d6…
05-10 07:30:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x540b74…
05-10 07:30:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x1488cb…
05-10 07:28:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xcb0a81…
05-09 19:08:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x363f3e…
05-09 18:41:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,500	0¢	$4	0xbbf6b8…
05-09 18:36:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x21c8e3…
05-09 18:36:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xcb97ab…
05-09 18:35:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x54a678…
05-07 21:07:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xde78f6…
05-06 16:45:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x764a12…
05-06 12:44:14	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xb6d19e…
05-06 11:12:32	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x972147…
05-06 11:12:30	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x180941…
05-06 09:11:50	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xc033b6…
05-06 09:08:48	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x28eb15…
05-06 07:35:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xc468b8…
05-06 06:14:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9cac3a…
05-06 06:02:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbe4e8b…
05-05 19:06:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xa4148e…
05-05 19:06:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x223c31…
05-05 19:06:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xf6a39b…
05-05 19:06:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xf3c04c…
05-05 19:06:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x11e868…
05-05 19:06:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xebb3e8…
05-05 19:06:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xb1ee12…
05-05 19:05:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x5d33b4…
05-05 18:41:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x52a636…
05-05 16:34:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x1a570c…
05-05 14:52:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xc71845…
05-05 13:35:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x3e74de…
05-05 12:46:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x24c0fd…
05-05 12:46:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xcb7b50…
05-05 12:46:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x388864…
05-05 12:45:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xd28a2c…
05-05 05:21:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd2e2e2…
05-05 05:19:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x56d7ea…
05-05 04:41:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x0edf85…
05-05 04:30:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x618312…
05-05 03:57:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x49e198…
05-05 02:17:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x148444…
05-05 01:52:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1cb7ac…
05-05 00:35:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa34b5e…
05-05 00:08:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4358fe…
05-04 22:52:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x30196f…
05-04 22:47:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x1c7fc7…
05-04 22:09:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd3eed8…
05-04 22:07:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x831cde…
05-04 21:42:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb38f8e…
05-04 20:55:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xfcbb4a…
05-04 20:55:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xdad56e…
05-04 20:55:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x0de862…
05-04 20:55:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xf69ae7…
05-04 20:54:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x503581…
05-04 20:34:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x76f423…
05-04 20:30:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xfde744…
05-04 20:30:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x398070…
05-04 20:28:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xcab452…
05-04 20:26:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0xc379c1…
05-04 20:08:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x9f4f5c…
05-04 19:29:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0c6d1d…
05-04 19:13:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x44a3f2…
05-04 18:26:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xfdb21c…
05-04 18:26:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xd7460b…
05-04 18:26:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xae9c0d…
05-04 18:26:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xd9420f…
05-04 18:26:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xb68966…
05-04 18:26:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xf47a6b…