Simple-Jury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-09 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Sports

37% 0% $-0

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No		+39	$38	98¢	$38	+$0	06-01 18:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$552	281	281	+0	No	+$0	04-15 08:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$528	298	298	+0	No	$-0	04-16 23:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$521	272	272	+0	open	—	04-15 21:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	8	$171	146	146	+0	open	—	06-05 14:06
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$160	99	99	+0	open	—	06-06 09:42
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	5	$138	138	138	+0	open	—	06-09 09:26
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$113	77	38	+39	open	—	06-01 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$106	61	61	+0	open	—	04-21 11:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	8	$105	97	97	+0	open	—	06-06 02:04
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$101	101	101	+0	open	—	04-27 05:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$96	128	128	+0	open	—	05-24 17:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	05-21 14:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	05-28 21:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	06-03 01:59
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	05-29 07:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$28	37	37	+0	open	—	06-07 06:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$14	136	136	+0	open	—	05-16 22:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$13	36	36	+0	open	—	06-09 22:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$11	35	35	+0	open	—	05-29 00:33
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$3	127	127	+0	open	—	04-16 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:50:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	36	18¢	$6	0x7a45c5…
06-09 20:34:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0xbdcd96…
06-09 09:26:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	65	54¢	$35	0x469a67…
06-09 07:15:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x35ca1b…
06-09 04:05:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xcb7a62…
06-09 04:05:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	69	47¢	$33	0x625940…
06-09 00:21:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	73	47¢	$34	0x55eda6…
06-07 06:10:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	39¢	$14	0x96f153…
06-07 01:46:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x08bb1b…
06-07 01:45:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x1bad56…
06-06 09:42:06	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	38	80¢	$31	0x1d18b5…
06-06 07:14:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0xb0d2b4…
06-06 02:04:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x962862…
06-06 02:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xe481b6…
06-06 02:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x67b3a2…
06-06 00:29:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x57bfa8…
06-06 00:29:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x48df31…
06-05 14:06:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa3bee1…
06-05 14:06:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x4674f7…
06-05 11:29:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	31¢	$13	0xe27c5c…
06-04 17:29:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	46	81¢	$37	0x957aa6…
06-04 16:13:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0x88497a…
06-03 01:59:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe8f574…
06-02 22:48:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xcd89b5…
06-02 21:16:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x230caf…
06-02 08:06:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xd71d3e…
06-02 08:06:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x42d196…
06-02 05:37:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x853f1f…
06-01 18:54:32	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x5f4460…
06-01 16:33:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x99a3aa…
05-31 12:52:37	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x7c17bf…
05-31 05:29:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x45ae38…
05-31 05:29:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	57¢	$31	0x1ea8ef…
05-31 03:05:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x055db1…
05-30 00:14:35	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x57c6f4…
05-29 22:05:47	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x6bec1f…
05-29 07:30:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x949668…
05-29 07:30:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x291a84…
05-29 07:30:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x052f8f…
05-29 05:22:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x8fdd2d…
05-29 05:22:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x33ede8…
05-29 00:33:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x3851d2…
05-28 22:44:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x2cfe62…
05-28 21:49:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xbf2e6a…
05-28 15:58:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x25e0be…
05-28 13:45:15	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	53	71¢	$38	0x5e6afb…
05-28 11:54:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	53	71¢	$38	0x11c81f…
05-24 17:02:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x447883…
05-24 15:55:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xa24bdb…
05-24 15:55:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x251d7d…
05-24 15:55:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x18bdb5…
05-21 22:12:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0xe45a84…
05-21 20:03:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xe089c1…
05-21 14:16:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xd58182…
05-21 12:46:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x42c969…
05-16 22:22:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	136	5¢	$7	0x510c15…
05-16 22:17:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	136	5¢	$7	0x9eb6f4…
04-27 05:28:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	101	42¢	$43	0xd044f5…
04-25 09:47:58	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	101	58¢	$58	0x581420…
04-21 11:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0x1be16b…
04-21 07:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0xdf600b…
04-16 23:39:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	298	88¢	$264	0xd30103…
04-16 22:00:28	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	298	89¢	$264	0x2a0164…
04-16 21:53:28	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$2	0x04bb0c…
04-16 17:25:54	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x5be51c…
04-15 21:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	272	98¢	$265	0x33ffe5…
04-15 17:10:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	272	94¢	$256	0x599487…
04-15 08:42:30	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	281	98¢	$276	0x47b0d2…
04-15 08:41:44	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	281	98¢	$276	0xde5d37…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$240.1K	3,662	06-10 03:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	20	$99.2K	8,537	06-10 05:26
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	17	$731.9K	11,950	06-10 05:30
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	16	$11.9K	269	06-08 20:17
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	15	$230.1K	2,601	06-08 16:37
Humiliating-Yacht 0x4a3d…2ce0	15	$3.38K	59	06-09 15:20
Common-Madam 0xffb0…5cd7	15	$2.13K	100	06-10 00:28
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	14	$5.13M	6,647	06-10 05:18