Junior-Torte — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-13 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Crypto

25% 100% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Tech

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		-23	$-22	97¢	$-22	$-0	06-03 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$1.8K	890	890	+0	open	—	04-24 02:10
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	11	$1.1K	528	528	+0	open	—	04-23 03:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$528	267	267	+0	open	—	04-23 03:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$527	265	265	+0	open	—	04-23 03:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$526	264	264	+0	open	—	04-24 02:06
Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$525	263	263	+0	open	—	04-25 13:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$524	263	263	+0	open	—	04-26 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	2	$524	262	262	+0	open	—	04-26 06:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	2	$522	261	261	+0	open	—	04-28 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	2	$521	261	261	+0	open	—	04-28 05:17
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$346	187	187	+0	open	—	04-28 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$260	263	0	+263	open	—	04-25 13:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$260	261	0	+261	open	—	04-29 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$258	260	0	+260	open	—	04-25 13:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	05-27 08:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	06-06 19:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-04 03:21
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	06-29 23:14
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	06-11 15:28
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	06-07 17:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-28 08:25
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	06-21 06:20
will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	3	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	06-24 17:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	06-28 11:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	6	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-28 09:06
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-22 09:05
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$22	0	23	-23	open	—	06-03 16:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-29 04:25
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	4	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	07-13 11:49
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$10	5	5	+0	Cavaliers	+$0	05-12 02:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 11:49:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa3f8f…
07-13 09:36:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd751b8…
07-13 05:30:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e2bd2…
07-13 04:36:02	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf777bb…
07-04 03:21:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbaa5d7…
06-30 07:35:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x769788…
06-29 23:14:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6d6542…
06-29 07:17:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x640339…
06-28 11:56:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x5d316a…
06-28 07:03:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xf917f9…
06-24 17:10:28	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xd46e0a…
06-24 08:53:29	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x3a17fb…
06-21 06:21:31	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x655215…
06-21 06:20:52	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xac68b6…
06-12 04:35:45	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9dbb04…
06-11 15:28:27	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x40b200…
06-09 07:03:22	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xebf27a…
06-07 17:33:40	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc4987f…
06-07 04:30:09	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb9378b…
06-06 19:01:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x906e0c…
06-05 07:35:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb8f595…
06-04 11:24:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x3a2fbe…
06-04 07:42:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xdfb167…
06-03 16:09:33	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x45063a…
05-29 04:25:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7ae2a6…
05-28 09:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xab1f58…
05-28 09:05:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3a2799…
05-28 08:48:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3cc290…
05-28 08:45:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf4bbb5…
05-28 08:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x028f8b…
05-28 08:32:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7fa3d1…
05-28 08:25:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x02a9b1…
05-28 08:19:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xef289c…
05-27 08:12:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x18daa0…
05-26 07:29:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x33dd7c…
05-24 20:42:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x5bb43c…
05-24 03:21:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xe2c65e…
05-22 09:05:53	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x73853c…
05-21 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x4d0959…
05-21 00:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xee88a1…
05-21 00:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xa613db…
05-21 00:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x40009d…
05-21 00:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x70d2e3…
05-21 00:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf20b97…
05-17 04:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x253595…
05-17 04:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8d557f…
05-14 03:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x458f1a…
05-12 02:19:38	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2f00d3…
05-12 02:15:40	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b4ccf…
04-29 03:20:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0xb552bd…
04-28 05:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0x5a4208…
04-28 05:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x6539f1…
04-28 04:59:34	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	187	92¢	$173	0xbd7c24…
04-28 04:59:22	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$173	0xffd901…
04-28 04:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0x4ffa32…
04-28 04:55:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x6abd1a…
04-26 06:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0xa86e18…
04-26 06:20:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0x8b13c7…
04-26 06:20:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xcd24f1…
04-26 06:20:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xf7746b…
04-25 13:31:58	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xead9d1…
04-25 13:31:38	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0xf28fd4…
04-25 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0x86a0de…
04-25 13:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	260	99¢	$258	0xeb26d6…
04-24 02:10:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x6d6008…
04-24 02:10:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x90900a…
04-24 02:10:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xba8cfc…
04-24 02:09:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xe299c1…
04-24 02:09:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0x9df03a…
04-24 02:09:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0xe5d216…
04-24 02:07:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0xb87349…
04-24 02:07:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x9b95f9…
04-24 02:06:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0x9ef511…
04-24 02:06:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x67628c…
04-24 02:06:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0x950d23…
04-24 02:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x5c3a6b…
04-23 03:49:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	265	99¢	$263	0x430d75…
04-23 03:49:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	265	99¢	$264	0x4c401c…
04-23 03:48:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	267	99¢	$264	0x632118…
04-23 03:47:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	267	99¢	$264	0x4b5cd0…
04-23 03:47:04	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0x2f621e…
04-23 03:46:52	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x70637a…
04-23 03:46:46	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03ad43…
04-23 03:46:44	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7a9fec…
04-23 03:46:38	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17f7ab…
04-23 03:46:30	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb59499…
04-23 03:46:26	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf49ca1…
04-23 03:46:10	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf349e7…
04-23 03:46:06	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x713f8e…
04-23 03:45:22	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0xf07581…
04-23 03:44:50	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x586cac…