Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
87.6%
Resolved
18
Trades
48
lifetime
Volume
$599
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$347
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-21 02:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
69% 75% +$1
Other
29% 73% +$0
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -283 -$263 96¢ $-271 -$8 09-15 06:57
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -29 -$28 96¢ $-28 $0 09-15 06:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +18 $16 90¢ $16 $0 10-21 02:23
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 96¢ $8 +$2 06-18 10:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +7 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 08-04 01:36
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-21 02:22
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-21 02:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -4 -$4 96¢ $-4 $0 10-09 01:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-09 01:57
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 08-28 02:20
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 27¢ $1 -$1 08-04 01:35