Realized P&L (30d)
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
15
119 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$110
$1.10K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$131
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 21:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
75% 36% +$24
Sports
17% 14% -$59
Politics
7% 0% -$25
Crypto
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +56 $5 96¢ $53 +$48 05-30 01:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +71 $10 18¢ $13 +$3 11-11 21:12
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +65 $10 18¢ $12 +$2 11-11 21:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +56 $15 20¢ $11 -$4 10-26 13:26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +57 $10 17¢ $10 $0 11-11 21:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +37 $10 26¢ $10 $0 11-11 21:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +93 $10 9¢ $9 -$1 11-11 21:13
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +43 $5 12¢ $5 +$0 11-11 21:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30 $5 15¢ $4 -$1 10-27 05:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $5 22¢ $3 -$2 10-27 05:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 10-27 05:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +18 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 05-30 01:49