Major-Grandma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-22 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

43% 0% $-1

Other

38% 0% $-1

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+23	$22	98¢	$22	+$0	06-10 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$1.5K	778	778	+0	No	$-1	04-13 02:21
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$549	281	281	+0	open	—	03-29 22:54
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$544	279	279	+0	open	—	03-16 10:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$542	281	281	+0	open	—	03-16 21:50
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$481	247	247	+0	open	—	03-30 08:34
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	8	$357	191	191	-0	open	—	04-20 19:47
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$356	182	182	+0	open	—	04-13 13:09
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$345	177	177	+0	open	—	04-22 20:50
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$339	176	176	+0	open	—	04-01 06:46
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$299	152	152	+0	open	—	03-09 17:42
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$297	154	154	+0	open	—	03-04 00:15
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$295	161	161	+0	open	—	03-08 13:07
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	5	$295	155	155	+0	open	—	03-09 11:38
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$293	150	150	+0	No	$-0	03-08 05:56
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$291	155	155	+0	Yes	$-0	03-10 12:10
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$287	148	148	+0	open	—	03-13 01:38
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$281	147	147	+0	open	—	03-17 13:01
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$280	143	143	+0	open	—	03-16 15:08
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$277	146	146	+0	open	—	03-13 18:13
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$273	141	141	+0	open	—	03-12 20:32
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$272	140	140	+0	open	—	03-11 14:29
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$272	141	141	+0	open	—	03-11 22:09
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$268	142	142	+0	open	—	03-19 18:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$267	142	142	+0	open	—	03-23 09:41
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$263	134	134	+0	open	—	03-16 03:52
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$258	132	132	+0	open	—	03-17 18:19
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$254	132	132	+0	open	—	03-19 05:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	4	$254	130	130	+0	open	—	04-27 02:40
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$252	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 04:55
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$250	129	129	+0	open	—	03-20 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 00:24:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x731acc…
06-21 20:21:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x372db1…
06-18 14:14:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x504b59…
06-18 07:08:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xaf8835…
06-17 21:39:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xfa3fc8…
06-17 14:35:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x15ddad…
06-17 06:19:47	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x286887…
06-16 23:13:20	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xfdc493…
06-16 14:07:28	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0xc2a89b…
06-16 09:05:48	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0xf29d52…
06-13 14:32:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xb66194…
06-13 07:31:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x375e34…
06-12 02:32:04	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x330901…
06-11 22:27:40	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x6a9cb6…
06-10 16:54:03	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x59750f…
06-09 08:36:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x5b9f7f…
06-07 10:52:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	27	94¢	$26	0xbade83…
06-07 01:39:18	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3c6b24…
06-06 20:32:51	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x10b324…
06-06 19:56:00	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0xad4298…
06-06 11:51:46	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x27b970…
06-04 05:26:01	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x6056f5…
06-03 21:23:31	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xa6122d…
06-02 22:55:14	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	65	92¢	$59	0xed8b49…
06-02 17:42:18	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x9a1329…
06-02 12:38:37	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	92¢	$62	0xc7862f…
05-21 05:10:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xdb28a4…
05-20 22:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x854e85…
05-20 06:19:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	89¢	$43	0x5aad4a…
05-20 00:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x6c9573…
05-15 18:41:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xb757f5…
05-15 14:38:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$50	0x068c05…
04-27 02:40:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0x2e1b3a…
04-25 06:07:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0xeeed22…
04-25 06:03:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x5ff280…
04-25 05:54:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x41b574…
04-25 00:36:12	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	129	97¢	$125	0x6d03e4…
04-24 16:35:16	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x7104b3…
04-22 20:50:32	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x0259db…
04-22 13:22:50	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x0f637d…
04-21 03:25:06	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x9f17e7…
04-20 22:30:42	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xf1b7f0…
04-20 19:47:54	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0xd7fba8…
04-20 13:20:20	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x26c26b…
04-14 05:42:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x494e97…
04-13 22:12:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x6a4ae2…
04-13 22:11:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b691f…
04-13 13:09:39	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x07711b…
04-13 06:58:29	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x673b0e…
04-13 02:21:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x149353…
04-12 20:01:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x68a38b…
04-12 03:50:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x059124…
04-11 19:37:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x1246da…
04-11 03:14:01	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x69e26c…
04-10 20:36:37	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x24a9df…
04-10 20:11:51	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x044957…
04-10 16:29:15	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0xe107ca…
04-10 08:57:29	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x987930…
04-10 01:08:09	will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9e71bc…
04-09 20:52:39	will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x40aa4f…
04-01 06:46:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x6e6d9e…
03-31 22:41:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x99fdf3…
03-31 15:12:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x95c33c…
03-31 05:13:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xb5cd51…
03-31 04:08:11	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x36c2d9…
03-30 19:12:19	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x504463…
03-30 08:34:04	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x561038…
03-30 00:17:20	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0xe360e2…
03-29 22:54:18	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	128	98¢	$125	0xad6525…
03-29 14:41:54	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0x4185d3…
03-28 10:55:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0x3c47f0…
03-28 05:54:27	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x8e9e2a…
03-27 02:04:29	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	118	98¢	$115	0x14f516…
03-26 18:47:09	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x0ae52d…
03-26 17:52:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	127	97¢	$123	0x718150…
03-26 11:06:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x2df761…
03-26 09:40:19	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	126	95¢	$120	0x720f31…
03-26 06:16:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x8f34a3…
03-26 06:10:37	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x728659…
03-26 05:32:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x8d157d…
03-26 05:17:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$59	0x790d31…
03-26 03:43:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$126	0x5be7c0…
03-25 23:23:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x358d97…
03-25 14:14:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	133	96¢	$128	0xe2e1d5…
03-25 09:57:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0xa186c8…
03-25 09:01:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0x5eea8e…
03-25 00:15:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0x9fbe7b…
03-23 09:41:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	142	94¢	$133	0xb4fcd7…
03-23 04:20:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	142	95¢	$134	0x11c4c2…
03-22 01:22:07	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0x9e5401…
03-21 16:56:59	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x340838…
03-21 15:04:23	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	132	97¢	$129	0xeede14…
03-21 09:55:23	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0x6cb0b9…
03-20 15:05:05	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	129	97¢	$125	0xe9cd0e…
03-20 05:51:13	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x45186d…
03-20 05:51:05	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb443c2…
03-20 05:51:03	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0xbc1283…
03-20 05:51:03	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x955e0d…
03-20 04:55:37	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	130	97¢	$125	0xdc107e…
03-19 19:23:45	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	130	98¢	$126	0x9bb021…