Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
59
lifetime
Volume
$391
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$45
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 07-01 21:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
71%
Tech
23%
Politics
3%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -25 $-20 88¢ $-22 $-2 06-15 23:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +11 $6 90¢ $10 +$4 06-13 02:38
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-11 26¢ $-8 +$3 06-02 20:23
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +65 $3 $2 $-1 06-19 03:01
100kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +43 $4 $2 $-2 05-31 18:59