(anonymous) 0xea85ab…2812dd
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Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
2
Trades
935
lifetime
Volume
$6.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$168
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 07-24 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52% 50% +$0
Other
41% — —
Sports
5% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +177 $30 23¢ $41 +$10 07-16 22:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +139 $32 24¢ $33 +$1 07-03 09:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +39 $29 70¢ $27 $-2 07-20 14:26
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +32 $8 30¢ $10 +$2 07-24 19:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +27 $9 33¢ $9 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +9 $4 58¢ $5 +$2 07-18 09:24
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 07-10 15:40
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +15 $8 32¢ $5 $-3 07-11 18:49
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-11 19:07
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $4 22¢ $3 $-1 07-14 10:54
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +43 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:39
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +6 $2 14¢ $1 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 $-2 06-19 16:54
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $0 $-0 06-16 12:24