Realized P&L
-$300
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
190
Trades
1,148
lifetime
Volume
$8.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$102
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
53% 57% +$240
Other
40% 52% -$510
Sports
4% 44% -$123
Crypto
2% 40% +$76
Tech
0% 83% +$19
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +259 $66 16¢ $40 -$26 07-26 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +45 $33 82¢ $37 +$4 07-20 14:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$1 05-13 01:35
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +15 $8 18¢ $3 -$6 07-11 18:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +27 $9 8¢ $2 -$6 07-16 02:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 07-14 10:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 06-11 19:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +9 $4 16¢ $1 -$2 07-18 09:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +57 $11 2¢ $1 -$10 09-18 00:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $0 07-15 23:39
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $0 09-07 00:50
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +4 $2 13¢ $0 -$2 06-19 16:54
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +6 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-24 06:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21