Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

75 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$340

$1.81K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-10 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$10

Politics

30% 100% +$5

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No		+56	$54	88¢	$49	-$5	10-04 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	3	$195	101	101	+0	open	—	10-09 18:11
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:58
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-03 23:51
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	17	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 04:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 18:37
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-10 16:30
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	3	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	10-10 02:26
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:34
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 13:30
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	6	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-20 06:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	3	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	06-23 14:15
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	5	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-27 11:44
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	05-07 10:50
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$54	56	0	+56	open	—	10-04 19:12
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	1	$53	57	0	+57	open	—	10-01 12:38
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	4	$53	57	0	+57	Yes	+$4	10-08 13:50
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	06-18 09:10
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	06-25 12:56
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	07-22 16:44
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	1	$46	50	0	+50	No	+$4	06-24 21:56
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-10 19:22
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	10-08 22:52
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	4	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 12:21
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-10 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 02:26:11	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec59a0…
10-09 18:11:17	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x23efdb…
10-09 17:08:41	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xffe37e…
10-08 22:52:08	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x1ac0cf…
10-08 13:50:32	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xabc367…
10-08 13:50:32	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x790904…
10-08 12:37:24	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x9d7ec2…
10-04 19:12:26	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xc4cb63…
10-03 00:54:27	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x47fb9f…
10-01 12:38:36	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0x82642e…
08-25 21:42:36	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa1d97b…
08-10 22:04:45	Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08ff64…
07-30 11:46:56	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$49	0xfd83dd…
07-22 16:44:43	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc9bdfe…
06-27 11:44:43	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0c9077…
06-27 11:39:37	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x647ab6…
06-26 21:58:04	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xfd7ed8…
06-25 12:56:16	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x6c0166…
06-25 02:27:07	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x44085a…
06-25 00:06:38	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xce5b19…
06-24 21:56:59	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x421bc5…
06-23 14:15:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xd95e03…
06-20 12:21:02	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x20451d…
06-19 10:30:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x24c468…
06-19 04:42:08	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xb1c8ae…
06-18 09:10:23	Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd2ebf1…
06-17 02:06:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x208c9e…
06-16 22:46:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xf75c91…
06-13 09:03:57	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaee90e…
06-13 09:03:57	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b0680…
06-13 09:03:55	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c4b2f…
06-13 09:03:54	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x222d31…
06-13 09:03:54	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19c885…
06-13 06:18:33	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41bb4c…
06-13 06:18:31	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe153b4…
06-13 06:18:31	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf39ca…
06-13 06:18:31	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x294299…
06-13 06:18:30	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf3cbc5…
06-13 06:18:25	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2b86ad…
06-13 04:59:06	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x18b123…
06-13 04:57:34	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a4d76…
06-13 04:57:24	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc80a7…
06-13 04:57:24	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b1d08…
06-11 22:52:34	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x912850…
06-10 16:30:10	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1a3939…
06-05 18:26:33	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2cb0bf…
06-03 23:51:31	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x82e3e1…
05-30 18:37:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf398fe…
05-29 05:11:50	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xec93fb…
05-24 15:58:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x8b97dc…
05-23 22:45:59	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x06ce68…
05-23 16:17:26	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xac1ddc…
05-22 08:13:25	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x81d184…
05-22 06:10:39	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xd436b0…
05-21 00:44:26	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6469a2…
05-20 13:30:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x42ea9b…
05-20 06:26:49	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x713800…
05-20 04:31:36	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c0f09…
05-19 20:13:14	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x91f107…
05-19 18:13:13	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0c3070…
05-19 09:45:27	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xbe8f2b…
05-18 20:24:16	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x22a314…
05-13 12:30:29	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa5d75e…
05-13 01:28:30	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x667c76…
05-12 22:43:44	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x4dc971…
05-10 19:22:25	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0aadd3…
05-10 17:34:14	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xd0d284…
05-10 17:33:25	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xae7db9…
05-09 10:58:56	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6f6f4e…
05-07 13:14:04	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0f7dd7…
05-07 10:50:37	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xa3c4ef…
05-07 10:50:30	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc9ff6b…
05-05 03:55:34	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe4d5ca…
05-04 11:35:14	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x43ce2f…
04-13 06:06:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc34bbe…