Realized P&L
+$182
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
1,768
Trades
2,838
lifetime
Volume
$11.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$63
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-14 15:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
84% 50% +$383
Politics
8% 30% -$221
Sports
7% 48% +$44
Crypto
1% 47% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$3
Tech
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 -$13 80¢ $-14 -$1 05-11 13:05
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +593 $4 2¢ $12 +$8 09-21 13:28
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +63 $5 14¢ $8 +$3 09-21 18:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +11 $7 66¢ $7 +$0 10-14 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 68¢ $7 +$0 10-10 04:07
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 $0 05-15 13:47
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23 -$4 18¢ $-4 +$0 05-15 13:47
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +27 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 09-22 12:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$1 9¢ $-1 +$1 05-15 13:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -20 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 05-15 13:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 13:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 13:13