Conventional-Everything 0xec9736…2c2fbd
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved (30d)
17
Trades (30d)
27
310 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$143
$3.21K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$797
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Other
60% 76% -$6
Politics
23% 96% +$13
Sports
9% 90% +$7
Crypto
8% 78% +$35
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +347 $335 98¢ $340 +$6 10-16 15:23
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -231 -$194 97¢ $-224 -$30 06-01 13:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 99¢ $109 +$9 06-01 13:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +80 $74 92¢ $74 $0 10-26 15:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +23 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 07-05 13:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$11 97¢ $-13 -$2 06-22 09:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 $0 10-09 15:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-09 15:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$3 99¢ $-3 $0 07-27 14:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-11 02:57
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 $0 07-30 16:05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -7 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 05-20 13:04