Realized P&L (90d)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved (90d)
23
Trades (90d)
59
201 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$99
$5.08K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$45
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 10-19 19:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 59% -$124
Other
3% 65% +$3
Politics
2% 56% -$12
Sports
2% 71% +$26
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +38 $6 18¢ $7 +$1 10-19 19:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $6 74¢ $6 $0 10-19 19:35
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-19 19:40
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes — +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 10-19 19:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-19 19:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:07
Discord IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-19 19:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:43
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:37
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:20
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:00
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-08 10:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 19¢ $1 $0 08-08 10:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $1 9¢ $1 $0 08-08 10:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 7¢ $1 $0 08-08 10:47
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 Yes +1 $1 44¢ $1 $0 08-08 10:16
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +3 $1 22¢ $1 $0 08-08 10:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1 $1 28¢ $0 -$1 08-08 10:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 08-08 10:38