Realized P&L (30d)
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
12
670 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$140
$5.57K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$649
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 22:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
42% 80% +$14
Other
39% 76% +$44
Sports
10% 68% +$22
Crypto
8% 78% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +454 $423 97¢ $438 +$15 10-13 22:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +55 $47 92¢ $51 +$3 08-16 20:10
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $30 +$0 10-25 22:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +35 $26 84¢ $29 +$3 08-20 14:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30 $27 84¢ $25 -$1 10-11 16:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +25 $21 92¢ $23 +$2 07-20 22:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +15 $12 94¢ $14 +$2 05-04 22:29
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 08-21 08:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 71¢ $7 $0 09-26 13:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $7 55¢ $5 -$2 09-14 21:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-22 22:02
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 09-20 12:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +10 $6 40¢ $4 -$2 09-27 11:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$0 07-01 20:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$3 09-15 21:28
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-28 16:31