Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
100
Trades
188
lifetime
Volume
$367
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$7
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Tech
35% 53% +$2
Politics
26% 55% +$0
Other
23% 43% -$5
Crypto
15% 66% +$3
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 09-25 16:43
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-25 21:03
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -5 $0 30¢ $-1 -$1 09-15 11:36
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$2 20¢ $-1 +$1 09-29 19:09
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -19 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-09 18:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-21 20:47