Fitting-Cranky — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

151

Trades

2,137

lifetime

Volume

$57.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-21 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 82% $-140

Other

28% 87% $-4

Politics

12% 50% $-71

Sports

7% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-05 22:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	19	$2.2K	1,696	1,936	-240	No	$-53	05-06 00:21
Hawks vs. Knicks	2	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-28 23:01
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 8pt5	3	$884	919	919	+0	open	—	06-13 10:29
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	10	$756	720	720	+0	open	—	05-06 07:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$705	640	640	+0	open	—	05-06 11:01
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	4	$636	600	600	+0	open	—	04-25 21:51
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	2	$630	600	600	+0	LYON	$-6	05-10 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$624	480	480	+0	Yes	$-24	05-08 18:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$620	780	780	+0	open	—	05-06 09:26
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	2	$607	625	625	+0	open	—	06-13 21:11
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	4	$504	600	200	+400	open	—	04-20 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$474	400	400	+0	open	—	04-18 08:11
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$465	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 22:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$450	240	240	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 01:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$442	240	240	+0	open	—	05-04 07:28
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	3	$432	600	600	+0	paiN	$-12	05-11 03:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$426	240	240	+0	open	—	05-03 13:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$423	240	240	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 06:01
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	13	$401	486	114	+372	open	—	04-20 11:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$391	240	240	+0	open	—	05-06 02:11
lol vks los 2026 06 13	5	$390	708	691	+16	open	—	06-13 11:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$388	611	411	+200	open	—	04-21 21:22
lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	2	$385	500	154	+346	open	—	06-15 09:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	9	$382	387	461	-74	open	—	04-20 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$377	240	240	+0	open	—	05-04 10:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$341	240	240	+0	open	—	05-03 22:01
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	7	$313	0	846	-846	open	—	06-13 17:13
will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	2	$309	178	178	+0	open	—	06-21 01:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 01:08:13	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	SELL	178	86¢	$153	0x5be1de…
06-19 10:26:47	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x5f9f47…
06-16 21:49:26	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xd50bb3…
06-16 21:41:25	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	Yes	SELL	53	39¢	$21	0x943758…
06-16 21:21:05	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x9e394b…
06-16 21:10:26	will the announcers say golden boot during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513571	No	SELL	118	56¢	$66	0x943eeb…
06-16 16:37:19	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	No	SELL	14	59¢	$9	0x83b510…
06-16 15:06:50	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xdbadfb…
06-16 12:52:28	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x544dbe…
06-16 11:53:28	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	83	35¢	$29	0xe3dfa5…
06-16 11:36:25	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0xaea739…
06-16 11:32:07	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x60c17a…
06-16 11:25:37	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb69916…
06-16 11:06:27	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x497404…
06-16 10:27:09	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf9f294…
06-16 10:02:58	will the announcers say offside or offsides 10 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513554	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x40ac91…
06-16 06:48:16	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x23a863…
06-16 06:39:04	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	No	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xb0cc83…
06-16 06:25:43	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	BUY	104	38¢	$39	0x978d50…
06-16 06:19:52	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	SELL	133	55¢	$73	0x34dd01…
06-16 05:21:06	will the announcers say golden boot during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513571	No	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xa55756…
06-16 05:17:31	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xcdc2f9…
06-16 05:05:33	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	BUY	133	64¢	$85	0x00ebbd…
06-16 04:29:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k on june 16	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9fb4f0…
06-16 03:22:45	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x90ae6b…
06-16 03:15:01	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x421a22…
06-16 03:15:00	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x312389…
06-16 03:11:55	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	No	SELL	103	71¢	$73	0x45793d…
06-16 03:06:40	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xb6d464…
06-16 02:28:10	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa67ec2…
06-16 02:25:58	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xea1693…
06-16 02:23:49	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0x72692c…
06-16 02:06:28	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8bdf1b…
06-16 01:21:00	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	BUY	95	67¢	$64	0x4b488b…
06-16 01:00:57	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xa5fac6…
06-16 00:52:40	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	No	BUY	250	81¢	$203	0xa0fb66…
06-16 00:07:48	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	No	BUY	103	81¢	$84	0x7d7320…
06-15 22:50:54	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	220	3¢	$6	0x8ddd8b…
06-15 22:29:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	127	81¢	$103	0x5fa2c4…
06-15 21:27:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	89¢	$113	0x423d9f…
06-15 19:54:09	Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?	Yes	SELL	562	1¢	$6	0x247ea5…
06-15 19:37:51	Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	306	4¢	$12	0x54b02c…
06-15 19:32:57	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	131	24¢	$31	0x7235e2…
06-15 19:28:01	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x3fd8db…
06-15 17:04:06	will furia reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	66	47¢	$31	0x0ac731…
06-15 15:46:00	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 15	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x52e2f6…
06-15 14:24:28	ferran torres 20260609173616760	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xa22ac9…
06-15 11:45:45	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0x2ca467…
06-15 09:41:48	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	Solary	SELL	154	55¢	$85	0x6bdfb1…
06-15 05:58:19	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	Solary	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x1adae2…
06-15 05:11:34	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	64	91¢	$59	0x5af5a7…
06-15 03:50:31	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xea05be…
06-15 03:50:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 14	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xde802f…
06-14 21:59:21	leandro trossard 20260609173850403	Yes	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0xe23926…
06-14 21:27:21	will furia reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	144	31¢	$45	0xdc151e…
06-14 18:36:03	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	Yes	SELL	85	77¢	$65	0x6dda24…
06-14 18:26:52	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xa6e584…
06-14 17:03:15	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	SELL	95	97¢	$92	0x913cb6…
06-14 16:53:54	will furia reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	255	38¢	$97	0x16fc9c…
06-14 16:03:42	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0x685470…
06-14 15:57:27	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xd1fc1f…
06-14 15:32:00	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	79	10¢	$8	0x1ab8b0…
06-14 13:00:43	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	SELL	17	93¢	$15	0x9bc430…
06-14 12:06:54	world cup goals h2h dembele vspt olise 20260604014137377	Olise	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x77819e…
06-14 10:47:09	memphis depay 20260609173030761	No	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x7e92a2…
06-14 09:41:28	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	No	SELL	140	9¢	$13	0xb124bd…
06-14 09:39:57	joao felix 20260609175357523	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x2709e3…
06-14 09:39:34	cristiano ronaldo 20260609175357519	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0xc49ecd…
06-14 09:15:33	memphis depay 20260609173030761	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xa066ce…
06-14 09:06:21	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xdfe325…
06-14 09:04:12	will iaki williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	163	30¢	$48	0x0bcc9c…
06-14 09:02:25	world cup goals h2h dembele vspt olise 20260604014137377	Olise	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x97969b…
06-14 08:59:15	jude bellingham 20260609175104688	Yes	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x81d785…
06-14 08:30:54	jude bellingham 20260609175104688	Yes	BUY	32	73¢	$24	0x819e76…
06-14 08:05:30	leandro trossard 20260609173850403	Yes	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0x3c9be0…
06-14 08:00:40	daichi kamada 20260609171501498	Yes	BUY	224	89¢	$199	0x252ddf…
06-14 07:59:00	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x4dc475…
06-14 07:40:04	unai simon 20260609173616776	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xc8bd7d…
06-14 07:33:28	cristiano ronaldo 20260609175357519	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x2e8631…
06-14 06:50:01	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	BUY	178	87¢	$155	0xf585ef…
06-14 05:59:18	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	No	BUY	186	10¢	$19	0x47b644…
06-14 05:58:42	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3a55ac…
06-14 05:58:39	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x289468…
06-14 05:58:21	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	No	BUY	189	10¢	$19	0x68734c…
06-14 05:37:31	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x94ef86…
06-14 04:29:43	cs2 ill vp 2026 06 14 map handicap home 1pt5	Virtus.pro	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8c88a7…
06-14 04:29:42	cs2 ill vp 2026 06 14 map handicap home 1pt5	Virtus.pro	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xee3dc0…
06-14 04:29:42	cs2 ill vp 2026 06 14 map handicap home 1pt5	Virtus.pro	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x188c7c…
06-14 04:24:39	ferran torres 20260609173616760	Yes	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0xa90972…
06-14 02:58:24	joao felix 20260609175357523	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xac2f88…
06-14 02:19:27	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	114	92¢	$106	0xd18125…
06-14 02:09:52	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x394edc…
06-14 02:09:33	will julian alvarez score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411105	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x4aa170…
06-14 01:51:33	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xcdcfb0…
06-14 01:19:58	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	Yes	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0xb4231c…
06-14 01:15:00	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	Yes	BUY	69	66¢	$45	0x9377c9…
06-14 01:05:10	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xf2ef7e…
06-14 01:03:46	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	97¢	$111	0x25fe22…
06-14 00:15:16	david raum 20260609173253890	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x09fc2c…
06-13 23:33:36	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	No	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0xae889f…