Fitting-Cranky — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

151

Trades

2,004

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-12 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 82% $-140

Other

23% 87% $-4

Politics

13% 50% $-71

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-05 22:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	19	$2.2K	1,696	1,936	-240	No	$-53	05-06 00:21
Hawks vs. Knicks	2	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-28 23:01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	10	$756	720	720	+0	open	—	05-06 07:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$705	640	640	+0	open	—	05-06 11:01
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	4	$636	600	600	+0	open	—	04-25 21:51
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	2	$630	600	600	+0	LYON	$-6	05-10 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$624	480	480	+0	Yes	$-24	05-08 18:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$620	780	780	+0	open	—	05-06 09:26
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	4	$504	600	200	+400	open	—	04-20 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$474	400	400	+0	open	—	04-18 08:11
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$465	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 22:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$450	240	240	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 01:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$442	240	240	+0	open	—	05-04 07:28
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	3	$432	600	600	+0	paiN	$-12	05-11 03:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$426	240	240	+0	open	—	05-03 13:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$423	240	240	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 06:01
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	13	$401	486	114	+372	open	—	04-20 11:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$391	240	240	+0	open	—	05-06 02:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$388	611	411	+200	open	—	04-21 21:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	9	$382	387	461	-74	open	—	04-20 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$377	240	240	+0	open	—	05-04 10:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$341	240	240	+0	open	—	05-03 22:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 04:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$268	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 07:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$252	240	240	+0	open	—	05-04 05:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$250	162	162	+0	open	—	04-20 11:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$197	386	20	+366	open	—	04-20 11:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$174	120	120	+0	open	—	05-06 03:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	8	$157	60	100	-40	open	—	04-19 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:00:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xdbdfc4…
05-12 09:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	44¢	$23	0xcfa726…
05-12 09:25:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xce64d5…
05-12 09:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x988cec…
05-12 08:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0xbdbca9…
05-12 08:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x86acb4…
05-12 07:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x53664b…
05-12 07:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0xda41df…
05-12 07:09:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x4c7b4b…
05-12 06:45:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x62f1e4…
05-12 06:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbfc275…
05-12 06:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb1a318…
05-12 06:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x7a4242…
05-12 06:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0x43b898…
05-12 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xa9b6b9…
05-12 04:10:00	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x641412…
05-12 03:04:59	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x99e3c3…
05-12 02:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x34d324…
05-12 01:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x357ad9…
05-12 01:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0x475606…
05-12 01:40:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x3f039e…
05-12 01:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xa3edc9…
05-12 01:00:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x3cddd2…
05-12 01:00:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf61567…
05-12 01:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x069630…
05-12 00:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0xdabadc…
05-12 00:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	42¢	$18	0xc21319…
05-12 00:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x18e026…
05-11 23:55:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xdf2ecb…
05-11 22:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0xff335f…
05-11 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xe00344…
05-11 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xc8af7c…
05-11 21:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x5c7fcd…
05-11 21:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x22c682…
05-11 20:20:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x1d75eb…
05-11 20:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xcfd254…
05-11 18:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x5c0a8f…
05-11 17:42:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	43¢	$11	0x7993d2…
05-11 17:35:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x90dea9…
05-11 17:35:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x11f5a5…
05-11 16:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xaec6d9…
05-11 16:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0x9d601f…
05-11 14:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x7cdfdb…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xfeb463…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x7218b0…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1b7d23…
05-11 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	24¢	$17	0xfbc1d1…
05-11 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xe53c34…
05-11 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x277383…
05-11 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xfc0e26…
05-11 12:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x913b2d…
05-11 12:35:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x923923…
05-11 10:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x5d60bb…
05-11 07:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xfd158c…
05-11 06:45:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x87debf…
05-11 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x55fae4…
05-11 05:00:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x2814db…
05-11 04:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xcbbc2a…
05-11 03:22:16	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	500	35¢	$175	0x2955b6…
05-11 03:22:02	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xc2ba6e…
05-11 03:20:12	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	600	37¢	$222	0x05c40f…
05-11 02:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x16da3e…
05-11 01:25:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xd5f9d4…
05-10 23:15:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb39931…
05-10 23:04:59	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x12de95…
05-10 21:50:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xca2516…
05-10 21:25:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb3e2d1…
05-10 20:40:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xa49100…
05-10 19:50:01	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xcd3c58…
05-10 19:40:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb06646…
05-10 19:30:07	LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Team Liquid	SELL	600	52¢	$312	0x6973bd…
05-10 18:24:12	LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Team Liquid	BUY	600	53¢	$318	0x3e384f…
05-10 18:00:00	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xc468c9…
05-10 17:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xe612a0…
05-10 16:40:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x304d4e…
05-10 15:35:00	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xf62e35…
05-10 15:10:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd46ad6…
05-10 14:40:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xdae84b…
05-10 14:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xae0f1a…
05-10 11:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x3b84aa…
05-10 10:35:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x9f3eba…
05-10 10:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x57b625…
05-10 09:50:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x1da64f…
05-10 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xc36074…
05-10 07:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd3ea4b…
05-10 07:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x9edf96…
05-10 03:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xddb61c…
05-10 02:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xac7f65…
05-10 02:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xf6aefe…
05-10 01:50:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x661830…
05-10 01:15:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb81b23…
05-10 00:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xab4d9f…
05-10 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xcadf4a…
05-10 00:15:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x16c962…
05-09 23:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x38447f…
05-09 18:20:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	72	76¢	$54	0x0bc261…
05-09 18:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x07ba2a…
05-09 18:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x348e63…
05-09 18:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb6ac14…
05-09 18:00:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xa85c1d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	886	$745	3,348	05-12 09:07
(anonymous) 0xc132…4929	871	$1.19K	1,136	05-12 09:24
Untrue-Aircraft 0xfc6f…a55c	770	$63.9K	791	05-12 02:15
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	726	$277.4K	17,794	05-12 09:33
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	704	$135.4K	9,512	05-12 09:34
Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09	664	$4.49K	1,838	05-12 09:37
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	659	$41.6K	6,025	05-12 09:36
Dreary-Disregard 0xc71f…88c6	653	$19.2K	658	05-12 08:11