Fitting-Cranky — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$677

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

1,887

Trades

2,434

lifetime

Volume

$83.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-21 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 95% +$300

Sports

27% 14% -$693

Other

25% 76% -$354

Politics

11% 40% +$66

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$4.0K	2,646	2,646	+0	No	+$0	06-13 20:59
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$2.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	-$6	06-14 11:38
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	32	$2.4K	2,990	2,990	+0	No	-$26	06-14 03:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$1	05-05 22:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	19	$2.2K	1,696	1,936	-240	No	-$53	05-06 00:21
Hawks vs. Knicks	2	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Knicks	+$0	04-28 23:01
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$1.3K	1,721	1,721	+0	Yes	$0	06-13 21:49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$987	1,318	1,318	+0	Yes	-$5	06-16 06:37
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 8pt5	3	$884	919	919	+0	Under	-$72	06-13 10:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$865	780	780	+0	No	-$23	05-05 23:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$802	480	480	+0	No	-$19	05-09 21:08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	10	$756	720	720	+0	Yes	-$46	05-06 07:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$753	413	413	+0	No	-$2	06-16 11:14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$741	413	413	+0	No	-$3	06-15 21:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$705	640	640	+0	No	+$8	05-06 11:01
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Ecuador?	2	$658	352	352	+0	No	+$4	06-14 22:30
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$643	342	342	+0	No	$0	06-14 20:29
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	9	$638	851	851	+0	Yes	-$9	06-13 17:13
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	4	$636	600	600	+0	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	+$0	04-25 21:51
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	2	$630	600	600	+0	LYON	-$6	05-10 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$624	480	480	+0	Yes	-$24	05-08 18:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$620	780	780	+0	No	-$48	05-06 09:26
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	2	$607	625	625	+0	Under	-$6	06-13 21:11
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$600	393	393	+0	No	-$36	06-15 22:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$591	577	577	+0	No	$0	06-16 00:49
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?	3	$580	314	314	+0	No	-$3	06-14 08:59
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner	3	$575	500	500	+0	Galions	-$25	06-15 09:41
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$516	327	327	+0	No	-$33	06-15 20:28
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	4	$510	397	397	+0	No	-$10	06-14 17:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$507	480	480	+0	Yes	-$6	05-06 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 01:08:13	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	SELL	178	86¢	$153	0x5be1de…
06-19 10:26:47	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x5f9f47…
06-18 04:20:25	Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0x190ecd…
06-18 04:14:52	Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xcf5c7b…
06-17 21:17:14	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x1a9d7e…
06-17 21:17:08	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x6b565f…
06-17 21:15:38	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0xef6bf9…
06-17 21:12:25	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0xe1d5ec…
06-17 21:12:04	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x59a5e2…
06-17 21:09:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	369	7¢	$25	0xfeaedd…
06-17 20:17:22	Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	SELL	167	30¢	$50	0x32c883…
06-16 21:49:26	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xd50bb3…
06-16 21:41:25	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	Yes	SELL	53	39¢	$21	0x943758…
06-16 21:21:05	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x9e394b…
06-16 21:10:26	will the announcers say golden boot during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513571	No	SELL	118	56¢	$66	0x943eeb…
06-16 17:10:14	Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xc5d1c6…
06-16 17:09:05	Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0xd4a6e2…
06-16 17:07:32	Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x244858…
06-16 16:43:52	Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x6a0f1d…
06-16 16:37:19	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	No	SELL	14	59¢	$9	0x83b510…
06-16 15:06:50	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xdbadfb…
06-16 12:52:28	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x544dbe…
06-16 11:53:28	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	83	35¢	$29	0xe3dfa5…
06-16 11:40:27	Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x93addd…
06-16 11:39:57	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x7634f6…
06-16 11:39:39	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8fa825…
06-16 11:39:22	Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xcc18a1…
06-16 11:39:04	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xffb5a8…
06-16 11:36:25	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0xaea739…
06-16 11:32:07	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x60c17a…
06-16 11:25:37	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb69916…
06-16 11:14:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	413	91¢	$375	0xe66af3…
06-16 11:06:27	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x497404…
06-16 10:27:09	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf9f294…
06-16 10:02:58	will the announcers say offside or offsides 10 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513554	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x40ac91…
06-16 08:58:01	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0xb70d8a…
06-16 08:45:33	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	413	91¢	$377	0x460abd…
06-16 06:48:16	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x23a863…
06-16 06:39:04	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	No	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xb0cc83…
06-16 06:37:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	157	85¢	$134	0x5a4ea2…
06-16 06:37:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$171	0x224827…
06-16 06:36:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	55	85¢	$47	0xb5de62…
06-16 06:25:43	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	BUY	104	38¢	$39	0x978d50…
06-16 06:19:52	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	SELL	133	55¢	$73	0x34dd01…
06-16 05:21:06	will the announcers say golden boot during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513571	No	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xa55756…
06-16 05:17:31	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xcdc2f9…
06-16 05:05:33	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	BUY	133	64¢	$85	0x00ebbd…
06-16 04:29:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k on june 16	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9fb4f0…
06-16 03:24:52	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	32	29¢	$9	0x5064a7…
06-16 03:22:45	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x90ae6b…
06-16 03:15:01	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x421a22…
06-16 03:15:00	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x312389…
06-16 03:11:55	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	No	SELL	103	71¢	$73	0x45793d…
06-16 03:06:40	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xb6d464…
06-16 02:28:10	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa67ec2…
06-16 02:25:58	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xea1693…
06-16 02:23:49	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0x72692c…
06-16 02:08:00	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	91	29¢	$27	0xc204ce…
06-16 02:06:28	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8bdf1b…
06-16 01:52:58	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	58¢	$41	0xb490e5…
06-16 01:21:00	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	BUY	95	67¢	$64	0x4b488b…
06-16 01:00:57	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xa5fac6…
06-16 00:52:40	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	No	BUY	250	81¢	$203	0xa0fb66…
06-16 00:51:04	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0xa12b00…
06-16 00:49:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	302	83¢	$250	0x4b7d43…
06-16 00:48:55	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	57¢	$38	0x4de566…
06-16 00:07:48	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	No	BUY	103	81¢	$84	0x7d7320…
06-15 23:31:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	302	83¢	$251	0x06d22e…
06-15 23:30:45	Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x64ef46…
06-15 22:50:54	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	220	3¢	$6	0x8ddd8b…
06-15 22:44:09	Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x37223a…
06-15 22:44:07	Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x9763df…
06-15 22:40:42	Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x6dfc54…
06-15 22:29:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	127	81¢	$103	0x5fa2c4…
06-15 21:53:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	412	85¢	$352	0x965e7d…
06-15 21:27:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	89¢	$113	0x423d9f…
06-15 21:26:40	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	413	89¢	$369	0xa3898d…
06-15 21:15:00	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	220	3¢	$7	0x4b1429…
06-15 21:13:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	372	14¢	$54	0xd45f20…
06-15 20:28:18	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	327	74¢	$242	0xe92b8c…
06-15 20:28:18	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0x928dae…
06-15 20:28:18	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	302	50¢	$151	0x0293e4…
06-15 19:54:09	Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?	Yes	SELL	562	1¢	$6	0x247ea5…
06-15 19:37:51	Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	306	4¢	$12	0x54b02c…
06-15 19:32:57	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	131	24¢	$31	0x7235e2…
06-15 19:28:01	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x3fd8db…
06-15 19:19:36	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	327	84¢	$275	0x24411a…
06-15 18:22:45	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	29¢	$15	0x1fe735…
06-15 17:57:03	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	308	24¢	$74	0x3aa256…
06-15 17:50:00	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x1e16ea…
06-15 17:48:39	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x0066fb…
06-15 17:44:25	Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x021711…
06-15 17:44:24	Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	258	72¢	$185	0x688377…
06-15 17:42:18	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	413	90¢	$372	0x4440cd…
06-15 17:37:12	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	209	72¢	$150	0x3d13d7…
06-15 17:26:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	372	16¢	$58	0x79d334…
06-15 17:21:34	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	241	27¢	$65	0x58375a…
06-15 17:04:06	will furia reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	66	47¢	$31	0x0ac731…
06-15 16:53:57	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	275	16¢	$45	0xceb25a…
06-15 16:52:45	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xb6003b…