Realized P&L (90d)
+$457
Unrealized P&L
+$236
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
266
684 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$26.4K
$71.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$2.21K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-01 04:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
63% 77% +$1,326
Politics
37% 64% -$1,108
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +481 $386 100¢ $479 +$92 10-23 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +324 $300 94¢ $306 +$6 10-16 05:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +352 $250 84¢ $298 +$48 10-20 13:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +349 $200 52¢ $183 -$17 10-29 09:26
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +227 $150 80¢ $182 +$32 08-16 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +188 $150 88¢ $166 +$16 10-03 05:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +177 $150 92¢ $162 +$12 09-13 17:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +218 $100 56¢ $123 +$23 10-04 15:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +175 $100 62¢ $110 +$10 10-11 19:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +127 $100 86¢ $108 +$8 10-21 15:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +112 $91 86¢ $97 +$6 10-11 07:50