Realized P&L
+$147
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
68
Trades
686
lifetime
Volume
$71.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$1.76K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-01 04:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
63% 74% +$1,251
Politics
37% 63% -$1,104
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +324 $300 96¢ $310 +$10 10-16 05:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +352 $250 86¢ $301 +$51 10-20 13:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +349 $200 55¢ $192 -$8 10-29 09:26
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +227 $150 80¢ $182 +$32 08-16 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +188 $150 88¢ $166 +$16 10-03 05:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +177 $150 92¢ $162 +$12 09-13 17:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +218 $100 58¢ $127 +$27 10-04 15:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +175 $100 64¢ $111 +$11 10-11 19:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +127 $100 86¢ $108 +$8 10-21 15:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +112 $91 88¢ $99 +$8 10-11 07:50