Realized P&L
+$222
Unrealized P&L
+$200
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
69
Trades
697
lifetime
Volume
$72.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$2.05K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-04 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
63% 74% +$1,251
Politics
37% 64% -$1,029
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +324 $300 96¢ $311 +$11 10-16 05:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +352 $250 88¢ $308 +$58 10-20 13:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +473 $250 56¢ $267 +$17 11-02 13:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +361 $205 60¢ $218 +$13 11-04 05:44
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +227 $150 86¢ $194 +$44 08-16 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +188 $150 90¢ $168 +$18 10-03 05:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +177 $150 92¢ $164 +$14 09-13 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +127 $100 88¢ $111 +$11 10-21 15:33
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +149 $100 72¢ $108 +$8 11-02 17:14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +112 $91 92¢ $102 +$12 10-11 07:50
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +227 $100 42¢ $94 -$6 11-03 08:55