Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
+$2.08K
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,319
lifetime
Volume
$953.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$19.0K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
57% 50% $-242
Other
34% 50% $-77
Sports
4%
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7,700 $5,899 74¢ $5.7K $-240 07-20 09:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +8,277 $4,890 68¢ $5.6K +$697 07-06 21:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,700 90¢ $-1810 $-110 05-29 23:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,717 $-1,608 96¢ $-1653 $-45 05-30 02:14
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,255 89¢ $1.3K +$80 07-19 06:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +1,631 $1,042 66¢ $1.1K +$43 06-26 10:14
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $988 100¢ $996 +$8 07-08 02:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $435 86¢ $430 $-5 07-13 02:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +425 $311 74¢ $312 +$2 07-15 23:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,015 $-1,763 $-116 +$1,647 06-06 22:03