Swift-Iris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$319

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,531

lifetime

Volume

$1.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

59% 50% $-242

Other

33% 50% $-77

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	127	$45.7K	26,000	31,104	-5,103	open	—	08-05 13:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	191	$45.0K	55,456	18,141	+37,315	open	—	06-16 11:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	38	$44.2K	27,686	18,000	+9,686	open	—	03-27 11:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	35	$31.5K	33,459	6,459	+27,000	open	—	04-07 22:28
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	118	$25.0K	16,391	16,391	+0	open	—	07-07 18:49
italy nordio reform referendum passes	193	$21.9K	21,144	12,373	+8,771	open	—	03-23 15:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	10	$21.6K	11,500	11,500	+0	open	—	07-31 21:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	147	$19.6K	45,525	39,462	+6,063	open	—	05-29 20:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	21	$15.6K	16,694	0	+16,694	open	—	04-25 16:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	72	$15.6K	12,857	12,270	+587	open	—	06-14 22:31
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	17	$12.3K	6,310	6,310	+0	No	+$68	03-15 14:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	46	$12.0K	9,594	3,594	+6,000	open	—	03-15 14:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	19	$11.8K	7,496	6,496	+1,000	open	—	05-29 09:38
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	15	$11.6K	11,900	5,000	+6,900	open	—	07-11 22:28
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	89	$11.4K	10,333	6,958	+3,375	open	—	04-24 17:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	18	$11.0K	6,490	6,490	+0	open	—	08-04 14:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	25	$10.5K	6,208	5,444	+764	open	—	03-26 22:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	42	$10.4K	6,977	5,677	+1,300	open	—	02-27 23:40
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-20 14:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$9.9K	6,000	5,000	+1,000	No	+$535	05-08 12:37
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	11	$9.7K	8,500	2,500	+6,000	open	—	07-25 23:12
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	49	$9.6K	6,768	6,768	+0	open	—	03-22 13:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	38	$9.5K	6,699	6,699	+0	open	—	01-30 11:25
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	37	$9.2K	11,738	0	+11,738	open	—	03-29 21:09
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	16	$9.0K	8,196	2,015	+6,180	open	—	07-13 13:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$8.4K	4,846	4,846	+0	open	—	03-29 20:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	11	$8.3K	4,700	4,700	+0	open	—	04-19 16:45
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	11	$7.9K	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	07-09 00:12
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	34	$7.8K	7,000	3,000	+4,000	open	—	04-12 18:43
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	82	$7.6K	9,044	8,390	+654	open	—	04-22 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 17:46:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x8eaa95…
08-09 17:46:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x9a34f3…
08-08 22:58:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	500	89¢	$444	0x610378…
08-08 21:59:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x6ea897…
08-08 21:25:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x892657…
08-08 14:47:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,400	84¢	$1,176	0x7367d5…
08-08 13:28:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$992	0x5c117a…
08-08 10:23:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	387	88¢	$341	0x08401b…
08-07 20:26:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	196	81¢	$159	0x768beb…
08-07 20:26:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x0be088…
08-07 20:07:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xcacd6d…
08-07 12:19:07	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x2cad00…
08-07 11:44:45	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	252	97¢	$243	0xbde645…
08-07 11:35:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x268773…
08-07 11:35:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xcf907f…
08-07 11:23:46	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xfaebda…
08-07 11:12:58	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa4e185…
08-07 10:59:10	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x071790…
08-05 17:35:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	2,326	100¢	$2,321	0x40b9d5…
08-05 17:34:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xbbd5c1…
08-05 13:02:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	84¢	$1,680	0x911ff1…
08-04 17:50:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	820	69¢	$566	0x5cc12d…
08-04 17:36:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x7b88dc…
08-04 17:24:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0x8d0acf…
08-04 17:18:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0xa9c4ea…
08-04 17:08:36	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$163	0xc56bfd…
08-04 17:03:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	173	69¢	$119	0x531b9a…
08-04 16:11:00	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xdce2fc…
08-04 16:11:00	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x6a24fb…
08-04 16:00:44	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x3d1723…
08-04 15:53:38	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x42a6b0…
08-04 15:48:39	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xa121df…
08-04 15:48:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	290	93¢	$269	0xb959ea…
08-04 15:38:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x9d7c88…
08-04 15:37:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0xc2cbf6…
08-04 14:53:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	3,161	80¢	$2,529	0xdf5dfd…
08-04 14:51:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	129	69¢	$89	0x8a7ce3…
08-04 14:51:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x597614…
08-04 14:42:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xf47444…
08-04 14:42:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xfd0d94…
08-04 14:42:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0xb59372…
08-04 14:42:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x279ebb…
08-04 14:42:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xff5c43…
08-04 14:42:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xd8b102…
08-04 14:42:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x67cc59…
08-04 14:42:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xca3fe1…
08-04 14:34:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0xc99752…
08-04 14:34:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,234	83¢	$1,024	0x0532b0…
08-04 14:24:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x786321…
08-04 13:46:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	450	68¢	$306	0x0b6367…
08-04 13:36:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xb4f63b…
08-04 13:30:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xf5bd18…
08-04 13:28:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x878e4d…
08-04 13:28:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	161	91¢	$146	0xcd7f8d…
08-04 13:27:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	917	73¢	$669	0x8e5cbb…
08-04 13:27:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$362	0x0d4bfd…
08-04 12:30:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$626	0xd1d40c…
08-04 12:29:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x1e5ec4…
08-04 11:38:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	500	82¢	$410	0x8e0747…
08-03 18:05:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x30ca45…
08-03 18:04:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xdcfba7…
08-03 17:43:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	700	70¢	$490	0x7beea2…
08-03 16:58:39	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x5a4c26…
08-03 16:50:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x0be9f9…
08-03 16:43:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,990	63¢	$1,254	0x05996c…
08-03 12:19:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	520	89¢	$463	0x37a136…
08-03 12:09:09	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x94394b…
08-03 11:50:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0xca0dc8…
08-03 09:55:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xcc3700…
08-03 08:50:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	490	88¢	$431	0x455fd1…
08-03 08:45:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xd10e72…
08-03 08:44:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0xba45ff…
08-03 06:07:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x49447b…
08-03 05:28:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	992	80¢	$794	0xf0f7eb…
08-03 05:15:18	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x505a6d…
08-03 04:53:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x539140…
08-03 03:37:20	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0xbfdb63…
08-02 23:06:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	620	98¢	$609	0x69a556…
08-02 23:03:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	236	68¢	$161	0x8cebe3…
08-02 22:54:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	395	78¢	$308	0xb97fe8…
08-02 22:53:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0xe73e4d…
08-02 16:35:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xbb6e76…
08-02 14:33:38	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x5847d5…
08-02 12:48:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0xbd73aa…
08-02 12:33:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x68227f…
08-02 12:32:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	206	66¢	$136	0x4a6b10…
08-02 12:31:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	594	66¢	$392	0xfd5ce5…
08-02 11:57:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xa81dbf…
08-02 11:31:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	225	95¢	$215	0x7ac640…
08-02 10:10:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$761	0x07e084…
08-02 10:09:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xa2306f…
08-02 10:06:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x0ad187…
08-02 09:11:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0xb8795f…
08-02 08:03:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x6f7a29…
08-02 07:47:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	865	95¢	$823	0x3daaaf…
08-01 23:01:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0x7a3bd7…
08-01 22:59:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xbcda9c…
08-01 22:06:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x4cbfe8…
08-01 22:05:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x2f7db5…
08-01 22:03:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x341228…