Realized P&L
+$34.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.84K
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
546
Trades
6,893
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$223
Open exposure
$51.3K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Politics
61% 68% +$22,059
Other
33% 71% +$9,450
Sports
3% 55% +$1,270
Crypto
3% 76% +$3,758
Tech
1% 73% -$1,748
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21,493 -$18,387 82¢ $-17517 +$871 10-19 09:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +8,000 $7,516 94¢ $7.5K +$4 10-26 23:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,000 $4,347 92¢ $4.6K +$278 10-26 13:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,600 92¢ $3.7K +$60 10-15 22:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 Yes +7,884 $5,212 38¢ $3.0K -$2,256 09-23 13:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -3,063 -$4,879 92¢ $-2803 +$2,076 10-20 02:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3,074 -$2,767 86¢ $-2628 +$138 10-19 09:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -2,500 -$2,375 96¢ $-2388 -$12 10-14 09:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,700 94¢ $-1870 -$170 05-29 23:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,500 $1,256 66¢ $1.6K +$382 09-16 23:01
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1,328 -$1,222 96¢ $-1271 -$48 05-31 14:11
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $860 91¢ $907 +$47 10-06 16:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -1,000 -$490 66¢ $-655 -$165 09-10 06:58
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +425 $311 92¢ $390 +$80 07-15 23:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No -1,000 -$380 38¢ $-385 -$5 10-23 18:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +96 -$125 98¢ $94 +$219 05-31 14:12
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +5,449 $17 1¢ $30 +$13 10-26 01:36
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +0 -$332 84¢ $0 +$332 10-16 19:31