Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
-$424
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,865
lifetime
Volume
$826.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$170
Open exposure
$42.4K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 15:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% $-242
Other
36% 50% $-77
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +7,000 $6,936 100¢ $7.0K +$47 06-21 16:35
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +5,972 $5,885 100¢ $6.0K +$81 06-21 17:55
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,359 $5,158 100¢ $5.3K +$188 06-26 11:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +4,440 $4,396 99¢ $4.4K +$20 06-26 10:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,700 $-3,336 86¢ $-3201 +$135 06-17 18:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,015 $-1,763 38¢ $-3086 $-1,323 06-06 22:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +4,082 $2,312 60¢ $2.4K +$117 06-26 10:14
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -2,054 $-1,989 100¢ $-2051 $-63 05-29 09:41
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +2,000 $1,840 100¢ $2.0K +$150 06-21 18:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,700 90¢ $-1810 $-110 05-29 23:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,717 $-1,608 96¢ $-1648 $-40 05-30 02:14
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +1,000 $992 100¢ $997 +$5 06-26 13:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $967 99¢ $987 +$20 06-26 10:10
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +1,631 $1,042 60¢ $971 $-71 06-26 10:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +481 $476 100¢ $480 +$4 06-26 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,509 $-424 $-8 +$415 06-14 23:45