Dearest-Samovar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

172

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$7.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-14 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

90% 85% -$25

Politics

5% 0% -$117

Crypto

4% 57% -$7

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$373	95,233	45,117	+50,117	No	-$102	04-29 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 8?	2	$204	103	103	+0	No	+$2	05-08 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?	2	$175	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-05 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 10?	2	$154	78	78	+0	No	+$2	05-10 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	4	$135	70	70	+0	No	+$5	05-12 19:29
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?	2	$122	62	62	+0	No	+$2	05-11 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?	2	$122	62	62	+0	No	+$2	05-09 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?	2	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$1	05-09 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 9?	2	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$1	05-09 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?	2	$106	56	56	+0	No	+$6	05-10 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 10?	2	$106	55	55	+0	No	+$4	05-10 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	2	$105	55	55	+0	No	+$5	05-10 18:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 13?	2	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-13 19:44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 9?	2	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-09 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 10?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-10 12:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-06 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 11?	2	$92	47	47	+0	No	+$2	05-11 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 2?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	05-03 06:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?	2	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$1	05-02 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?	2	$84	44	44	+0	No	+$4	05-08 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-06 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 11?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-11 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 6?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-07 06:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-13 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-11 09:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 8?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-09 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-10 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 3?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-04 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-13 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 7?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-08 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:51:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf6b2d8…
05-13 19:46:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xdd38fc…
05-13 19:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x17dd2d…
05-13 19:44:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xebbcdc…
05-13 11:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x21f83b…
05-13 11:01:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x96807c…
05-13 11:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xc37b10…
05-13 11:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5eb0c4…
05-13 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x544e09…
05-13 08:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x3b4acc…
05-13 08:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x0844a0…
05-13 05:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x323f7b…
05-13 05:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x41a5dd…
05-13 05:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x607de3…
05-13 05:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3d6b1b…
05-13 05:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1dce92…
05-12 21:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?	No	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0xdc5c7f…
05-12 19:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xcb6f44…
05-12 19:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x06beeb…
05-12 19:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb73609…
05-12 19:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x00b929…
05-12 19:29:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1f3450…
05-12 19:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa0baf6…
05-12 16:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 12?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x8b1e86…
05-12 16:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdf9acb…
05-12 14:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xde73be…
05-12 14:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 12?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xffa922…
05-12 14:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x88f678…
05-12 11:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xb945ee…
05-12 07:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x58f69a…
05-12 07:44:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xf96997…
05-12 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 12?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd4ee09…
05-12 07:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7fd533…
05-12 07:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa473cc…
05-12 07:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 12?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xa7af8a…
05-12 07:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6a04d6…
05-12 07:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 12?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x208ccd…
05-12 06:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 12?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x560be7…
05-12 06:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf50e50…
05-12 06:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xde4441…
05-11 20:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 11?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xd3b1fa…
05-11 20:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa59b82…
05-11 17:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 11?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xb7cf14…
05-11 17:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 11?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xdfe0c3…
05-11 14:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 11?	No	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xae8002…
05-11 09:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x9d70e5…
05-11 09:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x86b4cd…
05-11 09:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 11?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xbe9d82…
05-11 09:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 11?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5c998a…
05-11 09:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xda4cf1…
05-11 09:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x7bef92…
05-11 09:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe36676…
05-11 09:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 11?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3d92de…
05-11 06:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f9b55…
05-11 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x122aec…
05-11 05:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 11?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x4d081c…
05-11 05:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 11?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x330d23…
05-11 05:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0779fd…
05-11 05:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x971b42…
05-11 05:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa64ed9…
05-11 05:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x660d46…
05-10 19:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x283fde…
05-10 19:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 10?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x63a991…
05-10 18:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 10?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$14	0x5bd5a6…
05-10 18:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 10?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x56680f…
05-10 18:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xd33b25…
05-10 18:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 10?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x0be958…
05-10 18:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x516faa…
05-10 18:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 10?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x2cbf89…
05-10 17:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xc59271…
05-10 12:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xae5eac…
05-10 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xd36240…
05-10 12:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xc766bd…
05-10 12:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 10?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb635a8…
05-10 12:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 10?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xc56797…
05-10 06:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 10?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0xa49a26…
05-10 04:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 10?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3fde40…
05-10 04:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 10?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x970c63…
05-10 04:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x69e267…
05-10 04:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 9?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3a8ca5…
05-09 22:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 10?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x5db7da…
05-09 22:49:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0xb48e77…
05-09 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 9?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x8548c9…
05-09 16:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xfbaa78…
05-09 16:40:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2b0fb0…
05-09 16:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf16c69…
05-09 16:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0xa37464…
05-09 15:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x5a7f75…
05-09 14:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0980ac…
05-09 14:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xf8e819…
05-09 14:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x55e91e…
05-09 14:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xeba0b5…
05-09 14:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x640e9f…
05-09 14:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xc1b095…
05-09 14:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x03edbb…
05-09 14:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x6007cb…
05-09 12:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x9a8ae9…
05-09 10:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x01bdbd…
05-09 10:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf33805…
05-09 10:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x061d0e…