Extra-Small-Eardrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$235

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

33% 33% $-1

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-30 02:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	23	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	02-06 09:11
Trump out as President by May 31?	14	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 07:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 06:24
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$5	5	7	-2	Yes	$-1	01-16 09:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 03:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:27
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:57
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-30 02:28
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:15
Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-27 08:45
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 07:48
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:35
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:36
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 07:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-15 03:31
will the first eaglet hatch on april 5 2026 862 364	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-06 03:20
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 06:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:32
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 04:36
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:41
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:28
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 01:16
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:10:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb9d4a…
06-09 06:45:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f0c17…
06-08 06:33:04	ethereum above 1300 on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xedb306…
06-08 06:32:09	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef5e93…
06-08 06:29:54	ethereum above 1300 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0241c7…
06-08 06:27:55	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe60bc3…
06-06 06:12:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8c1b2d…
06-06 04:42:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x054c44…
06-05 06:24:00	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfc8ac3…
06-05 03:58:16	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9858b5…
06-04 08:36:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe3ec83…
06-04 08:16:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x878b41…
06-03 07:39:32	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf7e353…
06-03 07:34:59	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19951b…
06-02 04:44:24	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcf74ef…
06-02 04:44:07	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7477e5…
06-02 04:34:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86f85c…
06-02 04:33:31	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9bd932…
06-01 07:34:08	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7aba85…
06-01 07:01:26	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4aba7…
05-30 02:28:23	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3387e6…
05-30 02:27:42	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05809f…
05-30 02:21:49	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc801da…
05-30 02:19:53	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26062b…
05-29 06:24:07	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbc13ad…
05-29 05:00:12	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9f625…
05-29 04:58:50	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4a5edc…
05-28 06:26:43	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x111ac2…
05-28 06:25:47	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d050e…
05-28 04:34:45	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1acfe4…
05-28 04:33:56	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1534d6…
05-27 08:45:59	Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5c457…
05-26 07:34:36	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x23ffc4…
05-26 07:16:42	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf57e5…
05-25 06:46:16	Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x23169f…
05-25 06:28:18	Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x880903…
05-15 02:46:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed5734…
05-15 02:23:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x82a9ff…
05-14 04:36:40	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x90ef20…
05-14 03:59:16	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe592ae…
05-13 07:46:51	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd4102…
05-13 07:04:47	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37b7e7…
05-12 04:59:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdeee00…
05-11 08:16:11	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc3a8db…
05-11 07:49:56	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf75516…
05-11 07:46:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef8422…
05-09 04:54:10	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d2575…
05-09 03:57:16	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3ae5b…
05-09 03:56:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5dbbc5…
05-09 03:51:40	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x279826…
05-07 06:06:57	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f0ae7…
05-07 06:04:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x83e5ca…
05-07 04:40:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3e70f…
05-07 04:35:36	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x197807…
05-06 07:45:46	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51904b…
05-06 07:45:02	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x714e32…
05-06 07:33:50	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26549e…
05-06 07:30:08	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb300d…
05-06 07:24:16	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x223353…
05-04 03:54:42	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6463c…
04-30 03:18:20	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x044511…
04-30 03:13:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc366b1…
04-30 02:48:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x379a48…
04-30 02:44:30	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37bb7d…
04-29 04:37:46	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6dafc2…
04-29 04:15:50	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8d80a…
04-28 04:43:14	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Maduro" this week?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x08e3cd…
04-28 04:07:56	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Maduro" this week?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x34b06d…
04-27 04:34:44	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x011607…
04-27 03:10:20	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b84c2…
04-25 06:42:58	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs	Sinners	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfe5773…
04-25 06:41:18	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc66750…
04-25 04:02:36	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4b8692…
04-25 03:56:48	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs	Sinners	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x365082…
04-24 03:43:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf50cf1…
04-24 03:23:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27951c…
04-21 08:25:08	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6026fe…
04-21 08:23:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe20576…
04-21 08:20:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x567598…
04-21 08:16:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7d37f…
04-20 01:27:44	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd7b6b2…
04-20 01:24:26	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x650369…
04-18 04:31:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9d382d…
04-18 03:55:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3268f0…
04-17 03:42:30	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 14 be less than 70	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x638813…
04-17 03:40:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb9c480…
04-17 03:40:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd25fee…
04-17 03:29:30	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 14 be less than 70	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa05fe1…
04-16 08:25:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc0f91…
04-16 07:54:10	will trumps remarks not air 493	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee2d4f…
04-15 03:32:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7375ac…
04-15 03:31:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1003fc…
04-15 03:28:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b2aa4…
04-15 03:26:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d7bb4…
04-13 03:46:15	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0bbe2a…
04-13 03:44:57	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3809be…
04-13 03:43:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5ebb2…
04-13 03:38:31	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7e3f29…
04-11 02:03:23	Will SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x665f2c…
04-11 02:01:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8950d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	61	$6.22M	10,052	06-09 23:01
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	61	$320.9K	5,482	06-10 01:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	53	$111.7K	8,940	05-03 22:20
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	51	$3.64K	1,997	06-09 07:01
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	50	$5.66K	1,261	06-10 00:36
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	44	$74.3K	5,975	06-10 03:07
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	44	$66.2K	559	06-09 05:47
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	43	$16.3K	3,410	05-08 11:52