Private-Message — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$319

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 09-21 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

76% 53% -$414

Politics

22% 33% +$2

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+14	$3	15¢	$2	-$1	09-21 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?	3	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$0	06-13 07:30
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	2	$970	495	495	+0	open	—	05-16 05:57
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$965	495	495	+0	No	$0	05-14 05:37
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$960	485	485	+0	No	+$3	05-06 10:44
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	2	$921	490	490	+0	No	+$10	06-12 07:28
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$912	490	490	+0	No	+$0	04-30 07:32
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	2	$900	478	478	+0	open	—	07-13 07:00
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	2	$898	470	470	+0	open	—	07-13 07:58
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	2	$874	465	465	+0	No	+$0	06-22 09:27
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$873	460	460	+0	open	—	06-22 10:09
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	3	$837	455	455	+0	open	—	07-06 11:31
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	2	$834	450	450	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:49
will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	2	$675	350	350	+0	No	-$1	08-28 02:20
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	3	$669	350	350	+0	No	-$3	08-28 03:23
dota2 ill pr1 2026 06 13 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$512	545	0	+545	Yes	-$512	06-13 07:54
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	1	$485	500	0	+500	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	+$15	05-14 06:05
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	1	$470	495	0	+495	SK Brann	+$25	05-16 06:00
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	1	$468	490	0	+490	Wuhan San Zhen FC	+$22	05-06 10:58
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	1	$446	490	0	+490	Under	+$44	06-12 07:37
Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	2	$428	450	0	+450	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	+$22	04-30 07:46
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	4	$379	240	240	+0	Anthropic	-$5	05-20 07:50
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$339	350	0	+350	Qingdao Xihaian FC	+$11	04-11 07:57
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	2	$50	1,000	0	+1,000	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	-$50	05-12 04:55
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	4	$32	966	966	+0	No	+$3	05-12 04:50
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	09-21 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:05:41	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x40b15f…
08-28 03:23:45	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xe27970…
08-28 03:22:16	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	329	95¢	$314	0x17eca8…
08-28 02:45:42	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$336	0xbbebb3…
08-28 02:20:57	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	SELL	350	96¢	$337	0x8d9a02…
08-28 01:35:45	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	350	96¢	$338	0x1ef052…
07-13 07:58:49	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	96¢	$449	0x9ff9a7…
07-13 07:09:44	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	96¢	$449	0x312b2f…
07-13 07:00:02	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	478	94¢	$450	0x46d363…
07-13 05:54:40	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	478	94¢	$450	0xe5b551…
07-06 11:31:05	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	409	93¢	$380	0x4a3044…
07-06 11:30:59	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x6569bf…
07-06 07:26:32	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	455	91¢	$414	0xe608d1…
07-06 06:49:04	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	450	93¢	$417	0x5a9e85…
07-06 05:41:19	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	450	93¢	$417	0x2ccc59…
06-22 10:09:14	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	460	95¢	$436	0xb69d3b…
06-22 09:31:47	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	460	95¢	$437	0x4c011a…
06-22 09:27:10	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	SELL	465	94¢	$437	0x15f80f…
06-22 08:19:55	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	465	94¢	$437	0x169053…
06-13 07:54:13	dota2 ill pr1 2026 06 13 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	545	94¢	$512	0x46112f…
06-13 07:30:51	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	525	94¢	$494	0x96be70…
06-13 07:30:34	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x294e61…
06-13 05:28:27	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	550	94¢	$517	0x0aade8…
06-12 07:37:15	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	490	91¢	$446	0x0c1982…
06-12 07:28:33	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	SELL	490	95¢	$466	0x11dd96…
06-12 05:35:24	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	490	93¢	$456	0x3de3ed…
05-20 07:50:28	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	Anthropic	SELL	140	80¢	$112	0xdaa92d…
05-20 07:47:59	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	Anthropic	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x1ee3ae…
05-20 05:10:46	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	Anthropic	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xcfbe25…
05-20 02:45:35	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	Anthropic	BUY	240	80¢	$192	0x0e92b7…
05-16 06:00:19	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	SK Brann	BUY	495	95¢	$470	0x22621f…
05-16 05:57:00	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	SELL	495	98¢	$485	0x703e25…
05-16 02:35:32	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	495	98¢	$485	0x65f0f6…
05-14 06:05:22	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xb6f9d9…
05-14 05:37:58	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	495	97¢	$482	0xeefeb4…
05-14 02:42:34	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	495	98¢	$483	0x57e300…
05-12 04:55:37	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	El Gouna SC	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0x887e09…
05-12 04:55:09	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	El Gouna SC	BUY	505	5¢	$25	0x13c468…
05-12 04:50:17	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	488	2¢	$9	0x5d6835…
05-12 04:50:05	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	478	2¢	$9	0x4663ed…
05-12 02:48:31	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	2¢	$7	0xe7c77c…
05-12 02:48:15	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	2¢	$7	0xead64c…
05-06 10:58:58	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	BUY	490	96¢	$468	0x8a9f46…
05-06 10:44:20	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	485	99¢	$482	0x911d84…
05-06 07:29:40	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	485	99¢	$479	0x99b4a6…
04-30 07:46:06	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	350	95¢	$333	0x580abd…
04-30 07:45:26	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x423aaa…
04-30 07:32:30	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	490	93¢	$456	0x5fa234…
04-30 06:28:58	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	490	93¢	$456	0xe2da8c…
04-11 07:57:59	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	350	97¢	$339	0x9d3031…