Trifling-Relationship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-09 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

38% 78% $-3

Crypto

38% 70% +$3

Sports

15% 59% $-12

Politics

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+4	$3	84¢	$3	+$0	05-30 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$50	90	0	+90	Up	+$40	05-09 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$41	56	56	+0	Down	$-9	05-09 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$39	50	50	+0	Down	$-11	05-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	Down	$-25	05-09 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	05-09 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$25	60	0	+60	Down	$-25	05-09 15:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$16	20	19	+1	open	—	04-28 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 22:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 27?	2	$10	8	7	+0	open	—	04-27 20:44
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$10	5	5	+0	Thunder	+$0	05-10 05:10
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 00:43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 22:03
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 02:05
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 02:57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-19 13:44
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-19 13:45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-19 13:45
Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 14:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 23:32
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-26 02:05
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5	2	$7	4	4	+0	Over	+$1	05-13 02:35
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 21:50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 22:45
bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-04 17:28
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 02:22
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-04 19:02
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	2	$7	4	4	+0	Sevilla FC	+$1	05-13 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:05:42	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09 spread home 3pt5	Atlanta Braves	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8cddf3…
06-10 02:15:48	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 9	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd9b7ce…
06-09 23:01:39	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09 spread home 3pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xa17440…
06-09 22:16:40	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5ae136…
06-09 22:04:07	mlb ari mia 2026 06 09 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x866941…
06-09 22:04:04	mlb min det 2026 06 09 spread home 2pt5	Minnesota Twins	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xed81ec…
06-09 22:04:01	mlb bos tb 2026 06 09 spread home 2pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x04235b…
06-09 19:34:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 9	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xbb5d46…
06-09 18:04:03	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 9	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8be5be…
06-09 17:19:03	Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xcbb724…
06-09 12:19:06	fif idn moz 2026 06 09 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x08d086…
06-09 11:04:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x51ddec…
06-09 11:04:00	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8389a3…
06-09 01:39:27	mlb sea bal 2026 06 08 spread away 3pt5	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0d9a6b…
06-08 22:04:03	mlb sea bal 2026 06 08 spread away 3pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xbe8187…
06-08 13:37:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8cdc7f…
06-08 01:34:01	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc3caf4…
06-07 17:04:10	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07 spread away 2pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x15f830…
06-07 17:04:07	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07 spread home 3pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x47597e…
06-07 17:04:03	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 07 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xe8ebb8…
06-07 16:19:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x262924…
06-07 14:04:03	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x52fe63…
06-07 10:04:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x01191b…
06-07 09:04:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x944f41…
06-06 21:19:01	wnba wsh atl 2026 06 06	Atlanta Dream	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xad72ec…
06-06 17:04:04	fif rom wal 2026 06 06 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x1d26a0…
06-06 12:19:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x717563…
06-06 05:34:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb7cb92…
06-05 17:20:10	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x582922…
06-05 14:19:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x42ebef…
06-05 14:14:27	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6c875d…
06-04 19:02:01	Spread: Sweden (-1.5)	Greece	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x62bace…
06-04 18:27:36	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa0c7cd…
06-04 17:28:54	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x21970d…
06-04 17:28:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x03a1ce…
06-04 17:28:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfc8eb5…
06-04 16:27:36	Spread: Sweden (-1.5)	Greece	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xed0fd8…
06-04 10:57:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1b8125…
06-04 04:12:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc01400…
06-04 04:00:43	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc9e4d8…
06-04 02:42:36	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf5267c…
06-04 01:27:36	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2c9422…
06-04 00:42:36	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1d09ff…
06-03 22:12:34	mlb bal bos 2026 06 03 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x981eb0…
06-03 18:12:39	Spread: Poland (-2.5)	Nigeria	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7090fc…
06-03 17:27:36	DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x94f2ed…
06-03 04:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x0dc49e…
06-02 21:37:44	Spread: Wales (-2.5)	Ghana	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbc1e23…
06-02 18:12:37	Spread: Wales (-2.5)	Ghana	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x186528…
06-02 16:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xfe561c…
06-02 16:12:35	Spread: Romania (-1.5)	Georgia	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xafd200…
06-02 12:58:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x589800…
06-02 09:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x183671…
06-02 04:57:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x51bbbd…
06-02 01:32:08	Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdcc886…
06-02 00:27:35	Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x711773…
06-01 23:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xab56e8…
06-01 22:27:36	Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb0f331…
06-01 21:50:30	Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2b23cd…
06-01 18:12:39	Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x206314…
06-01 16:57:38	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)	Karmine Corp	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd1ff33…
06-01 14:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xabc061…
06-01 12:01:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9ede13…
06-01 04:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x197ea3…
05-31 13:16:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdd35fa…
05-31 12:12:48	Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x82e841…
05-31 05:43:03	Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xddc4df…
05-31 05:42:44	Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4bfe20…
05-31 03:05:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x762cf7…
05-31 00:27:35	Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x545d4f…
05-31 00:12:39	Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x96d527…
05-30 23:32:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa5f341…
05-30 21:33:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9c687f…
05-30 20:57:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x17a54f…
05-30 14:05:56	Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x56c044…
05-30 10:57:36	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x3d0017…
05-30 10:27:35	Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x391d63…
05-30 09:12:34	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe985ad…
05-30 07:27:36	V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x020fc2…
05-30 06:27:36	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xe523ec…
05-30 05:27:36	Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x1c09ce…
05-30 02:25:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2b5710…
05-30 02:22:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x76c7bb…
05-29 19:11:52	CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa5aa03…
05-29 18:11:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb02a49…
05-29 17:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc43d4c…
05-29 17:26:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x21cbd9…
05-29 14:11:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x7a685e…
05-29 04:11:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe7fd79…
05-29 02:57:12	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x475d4c…
05-29 00:15:08	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x305dbd…
05-29 00:13:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x108c60…
05-28 18:12:00	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x985eb4…
05-28 18:11:51	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1f0013…
05-28 16:26:51	Bitcoin above 73,000 on May 28, 1PM ET?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9c6782…
05-28 14:26:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x445d71…
05-28 13:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0ad756…
05-28 07:26:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3d0197…
05-28 04:41:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xcec208…
05-28 04:27:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe1b03b…