Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
39
lifetime
Volume
$17.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$438
Open exposure
$16.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$28
Other
38% 67% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,695 $6,160 92¢ $6.1K -$33 10-26 18:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -5,910 -$5,682 96¢ $-5689 -$6 10-26 18:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,166 -$1,135 98¢ $-1137 -$3 10-26 18:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $930 92¢ $925 -$5 10-26 18:20
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +851 $732 86¢ $727 -$4 10-26 18:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +641 $568 92¢ $586 +$18 10-26 18:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +345 $300 90¢ $309 +$9 07-01 16:59
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $289 96¢ $287 -$2 10-26 18:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $130 66¢ $133 +$3 10-26 18:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $83 84¢ $84 +$0 10-26 18:19
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $74 97¢ $75 +$1 10-26 18:16
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -30 -$28 94¢ $-28 $0 10-26 18:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +45 $25 55¢ $25 -$1 10-26 18:20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $20 18¢ $16 -$4 07-01 16:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$1 07-01 16:51