Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$218

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

136

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$2.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-22 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 44% +$219

Politics

2% 0% $0

Other

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+53	$11	18¢	$10	-$1	10-06 04:59
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		+1,333	$3	0¢	$2	-$1	10-16 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	19	$472	488	288	+200	Up	+$175	10-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	19	$421	1,793	1,226	+568	Up	-$26	10-02 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	27	$147	183	168	+14	Up	+$13	10-08 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	12	$129	115	115	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 05:41
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	80	$124	147	93	+54	Down	-$18	09-20 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET	53	$91	160	160	+0	Up	+$11	09-20 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	29	$77	2,581	0	+2,581	Down	-$77	10-06 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	50	$72	94	94	+0	Up	+$2	09-20 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$69	68	63	+5	Up	+$0	10-09 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	16	$62	104	33	+71	Up	-$20	10-07 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	32	$49	52	45	+7	Up	-$1	09-21 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	31	$45	43	43	+0	Down	+$1	09-23 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$33	33	15	+18	Down	-$9	10-06 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	10	$30	256	3	+253	Down	-$26	10-11 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	7	$30	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	10-01 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$29	30	30	+0	Down	+$25	09-18 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	7	$26	160	14	+146	Up	-$2	09-06 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	6	$26	19	14	+4	Up	$0	10-06 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$26	48	23	+25	Down	+$2	10-06 05:14
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 04:00 UTC	14	$25	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	09-25 05:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	6	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	09-09 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	13	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	09-20 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$20	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	10-09 06:07
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-01 04:00 UTC	11	$17	259	1	+258	Down	+$243	10-01 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$4	10-09 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	12	$13	72	6	+66	Down	-$3	09-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	11	$12	108	8	+100	Up	$0	09-06 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$11	13	7	+7	Up	-$3	10-06 20:39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$11	53	0	+53	open	—	10-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	8	$11	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	09-06 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 06:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x86ae59…
10-22 06:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x455718…
10-22 06:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf85e12…
10-22 06:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6720dd…
10-22 06:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x73ba63…
10-22 06:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5092b1…
10-22 06:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5f0ba6…
10-22 06:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x41640e…
10-22 06:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x781957…
10-22 06:08:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xc84370…
10-19 04:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x564443…
10-18 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x352356…
10-18 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc8202e…
10-18 04:47:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xba149e…
10-18 04:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1b49dc…
10-18 04:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x67c375…
10-18 04:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2b269c…
10-18 04:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd021b0…
10-18 04:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5ed334…
10-18 04:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x585c1f…
10-18 04:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5e9505…
10-18 04:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb9019a…
10-18 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37f4a5…
10-18 04:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6fc72c…
10-16 05:16:04	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf7e83d…
10-16 05:15:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xcfbda5…
10-16 05:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x19524c…
10-16 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x0aabfb…
10-16 04:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x78a710…
10-16 04:56:00	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb99bba…
10-16 04:53:49	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xb429fa…
10-16 04:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xe08701…
10-16 04:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb1027b…
10-16 04:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3620c8…
10-15 04:45:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6a8ed5…
10-15 04:41:01	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d92fe…
10-14 23:05:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6b3bb3…
10-14 23:04:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in october 2026 from october 7	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x336934…
10-14 03:48:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xd09d95…
10-14 03:47:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd3ea83…
10-14 03:46:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x952097…
10-14 03:46:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x4be15c…
10-14 03:46:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x259a44…
10-14 03:45:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8058f9…
10-14 03:45:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x75a200…
10-14 03:45:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3ef68d…
10-14 03:44:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3e9ba6…
10-14 03:44:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x53b287…
10-13 05:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf3842b…
10-13 05:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xefbcd3…
10-13 05:31:35	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xddc97b…
10-11 16:04:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x635fb6…
10-11 16:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x45b6c5…
10-11 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa6934f…
10-11 04:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38b623…
10-11 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x901f9b…
10-11 04:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa4a3e1…
10-11 04:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfaf712…
10-11 04:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd1ff02…
10-11 04:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x086613…
10-11 04:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x8c7f84…
10-11 04:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0eb366…
10-11 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x3e0e9d…
10-11 04:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf09184…
10-11 04:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb91395…
10-11 04:03:27	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x8fd42a…
10-11 04:03:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x15ec40…
10-11 04:03:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xe7749f…
10-11 04:03:11	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x4cc343…
10-11 03:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1183e7…
10-11 03:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x24cae9…
10-11 03:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36c76c…
10-11 03:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0xf768c7…
10-11 03:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	67	16¢	$11	0x42bbac…
10-11 03:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xdef74f…
10-11 03:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0f05f0…
10-11 03:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc595ee…
10-11 03:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x16cd03…
10-11 03:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc4e520…
10-11 03:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x574b20…
10-09 13:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xad830e…
10-09 13:25:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x079016…
10-09 13:25:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfcf1fb…
10-09 13:24:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x98eac6…
10-09 13:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdaeef9…
10-09 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x05e00b…
10-09 06:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	41	53¢	$22	0x851faf…
10-09 06:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x66c6b6…
10-09 06:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x711e00…
10-09 06:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x503be5…
10-09 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8b0884…
10-09 06:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x9a6e12…
10-09 06:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x7f3348…
10-09 05:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf40a38…
10-09 05:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x072f48…
10-09 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xf807c6…
10-09 05:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x128261…
10-09 05:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe6fbe7…
10-09 05:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x39aecb…
10-09 05:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7b0a1f…