Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on October 22?
No won
Total volume
$203
Trades
32
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-22
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-22 07:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.2¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $43
vs crowd: 1% YES on $173)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $0 | $72 | $71 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $85 | $85 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $0 | $43 | $42 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $39 | $39 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $85 | $85 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe3c0…a14c | Yes | +482 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2faa…9a1a | No | +86 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 10-20 18:24 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-22 07:54 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-21 21:22 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 04:23 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-20 18:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cb1…4897 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-21 18:50 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-21 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-21 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-21 21:22 |
| Vigorous-Official 0x9fcd…1771 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 18:50 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-21 02:58 |
| Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 18:24 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-21 21:23 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-21 21:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 07:54:03 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc631ea… |
| 10-22 07:54:03 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc631ea… |
| 10-21 21:23:33 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa901be… |
| 10-21 21:23:33 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d5db4… |
| 10-21 21:23:33 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x6d5db4… |
| 10-21 21:23:33 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa901be… |
| 10-21 21:23:33 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x6d5db4… |
| 10-21 21:22:38 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa8cfe7… |
| 10-21 21:22:38 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa8cfe7… |
| 10-21 21:22:38 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa95fed… |
| 10-21 21:22:38 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa95fed… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x4cb1…4897 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xe3c0…a14c | Yes | BUY | 482 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x61018d… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd04e0… |
| 10-21 18:50:39 | Vigorous-Official 0x9fcd…1771 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61018d… |
| 10-21 04:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a7322… |
| 10-21 04:23:39 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a7322… |
| 10-21 02:58:53 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x697a34… |
| 10-21 02:58:53 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x697a34… |
| 10-21 02:58:53 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x697a34… |
| 10-20 18:24:17 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x247326… |
| 10-20 18:24:17 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd92555… |
| 10-20 18:24:17 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x247326… |
| 10-20 18:24:17 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd92555… |
| 10-20 18:24:17 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd92555… |
| 10-20 18:24:17 | (anonymous) 0x2faa…9a1a | No | BUY | 86 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x247326… |