Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 11?
No won
Total volume
$343
Trades
33
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 23:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $254 | $254 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $27 | $39 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $9 | $11 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $86 | $86 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Below median | 7 | $4 | $16 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $13 | $136 | $123 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +128 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 05-11 23:29 |
| Overdue-Sovereignty 0x9fd6…5ab1 | No | +86 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 05-11 23:16 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 17:20 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 17:59 |
| Serpentine-Millisecond 0x5dd1…d33c | Yes | +24 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 15:16 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:32 |
| Anchored-Controversy 0x6d23…f984 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 19:04 |
| Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 13:10 |
| Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 18:59 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-11 17:59 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 15:36 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 17:59 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 06:44 |
| Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:56 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:59 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 03:25 |
| Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:59 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:59 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:31 |
| Double-Tracksuit 0x3e42…c476 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 08:45 |
| Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:57 |
| Twin-Emery 0x7cd2…d675 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 23:29:04 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 128 | 100¢ | $128 | 0x1f8bdd… |
| 05-11 23:16:19 | Overdue-Sovereignty 0x9fd6…5ab1 | No | BUY | 86 | 100¢ | $86 | 0x0aa0fd… |
| 05-11 19:04:47 | Anchored-Controversy 0x6d23…f984 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4f5a0d… |
| 05-11 18:59:11 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x22a17f… |
| 05-11 18:59:08 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xc8dbb1… |
| 05-11 18:59:08 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xc4c03a… |
| 05-11 17:59:19 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x7b86a1… |
| 05-11 17:59:05 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x9ab420… |
| 05-11 17:59:05 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x34250c… |
| 05-11 17:59:05 | Twin-Emery 0x7cd2…d675 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x131c41… |
| 05-11 15:16:49 | Serpentine-Millisecond 0x5dd1…d33c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x2a2dcb… |
| 05-11 14:57:45 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xfce1dd… |
| 05-11 05:13:39 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xf03fda… |
| 05-11 01:39:55 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xe6f835… |
| 05-11 01:39:55 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x6a9348… |
| 05-10 17:20:49 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xbdb424… |
| 05-10 15:36:44 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xbdf8f6… |
| 05-10 14:56:30 | Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x1eace4… |
| 05-10 14:51:56 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x872995… |
| 05-10 13:10:43 | Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x6256b7… |
| 05-10 06:32:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa18863… |
| 05-10 06:32:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x374551… |
| 05-10 06:32:23 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x34b80a… |
| 05-10 06:31:43 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xc1234b… |
| 05-10 06:31:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x601bef… |
| 05-10 06:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xa8c582… |
| 05-10 05:02:35 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3eca9d… |
| 05-10 04:59:00 | Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe2342a… |
| 05-10 03:31:18 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xe8283c… |
| 05-10 03:25:21 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x86959a… |
| 05-10 02:01:14 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0x7b5f4a… |
| 05-09 08:45:07 | Double-Tracksuit 0x3e42…c476 | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x62f559… |
| 05-09 06:44:46 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xae4c96… |