Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$1,013

Trades

209

Unique wallets

52

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-16

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-16 02:56

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Lively-Authenticity +182 Supportive-Matchmaker +112 Proud-Linguistics +105 (anon) +100 (anon) +80 (anon) +61 (anon) +41 Hideous-Sleepiness +40

NO holders

Lively-Authenticity +148 Gigantic-Subroutine +128 Supportive-Matchmaker +109 (anon) +78 (anon) +66 (anon) +60 (anon) +56 (anon) +41

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.1¢ (top1%: 80% YES on $407 vs crowd: 85% YES on $935)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	9	$385	$89	+$296
🐬 Dolphin	9	$174	$5	+$169
🐟 Fish	22	$175	$43	+$133
🦐 Shrimp	12	$57	$8	+$48

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	7	$327	$79	+$248
🏆 Top 5%	7	$64	$1	+$63
✅ Top 10%	3	$140	—	+$140
Median	6	$22	—	+$22
Below median	16	$59	$6	+$52
⚠️ Bottom 10%	2	—	$8	$8
🔻 Bottom 5%	8	$125	$39	+$86
💀 Bottom 1%	3	$53	$11	+$43

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (49) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+182	$140	$140	12	10-16 02:54
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+148	$7	$7	3	10-16 02:48
Gigantic-Subroutine 0xc4cf…3245	Down	+128	$33	$33	7	10-16 02:14
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+112	$86	$86	23	10-16 02:39
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+109	$25	$25	27	10-16 02:56
Proud-Linguistics 0xe858…ef1c	Up	+105	$101	$101	2	10-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0x1a51…e2c3	Up	+100	$98	$98	4	10-16 02:53
(anonymous) 0x1404…de47	Up	+80	$62	$62	9	10-16 02:26
(anonymous) 0x8816…567e	Down	+78	$4	$4	2	10-16 02:53
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Down	+66	$8	$8	7	10-16 02:56
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Up	+61	$53	$53	5	10-16 02:54
(anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7	Down	+60	$1	$1	4	10-16 02:54
(anonymous) 0x1404…de47	Down	+56	$1	$1	9	10-16 02:39
(anonymous) 0x741a…2c2f	Up	+41	$21	$21	1	10-15 18:25
(anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63	Down	+41	$20	$20	4	10-15 18:25
Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4	Up	+40	$40	$40	2	10-16 02:47
(anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65	Down	+35	$1	$1	7	10-16 02:47
(anonymous) 0x335a…a494	Down	+31	$12	$35	20	10-16 02:13
Damaged-Try 0x73ba…bb08	Down	+17	$8	$8	1	10-16 02:00
(anonymous) 0x4163…521c	Down	+13	$0	$0	1	10-16 02:53
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Down	+12	$2	$2	1	10-16 02:19
(anonymous) 0xb664…25f2	Up	+12	$9	$9	1	10-16 02:13
(anonymous) 0xe937…ae56	Up	+12	$12	$12	1	10-16 02:56
(anonymous) 0x78bf…f861	Down	+11	$2	$2	1	10-16 02:15
Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415	Up	+10	$10	$10	2	10-16 02:40
(anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce	Up	+10	$10	$10	1	10-16 02:55
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Down	+10	$0	$0	3	10-16 02:56
(anonymous) 0x628c…8692	Up	+9	$5	$5	1	10-16 02:00
(anonymous) 0xb3fd…e352	Up	+9	$9	$9	1	10-16 02:53
Spectacular-Hypothesis 0x52cc…4a71	Up	+8	$4	$4	1	10-16 00:58
(anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39	Down	+7	$3	$3	1	10-16 02:04
Extraneous-Paperwork 0xe02c…4ab1	Up	+7	$4	$4	1	10-16 02:00
(anonymous) 0x9635…a71f	Up	+6	$6	$6	1	10-16 02:56
Slim-Feeding 0x6295…b798	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 02:31
(anonymous) 0x48ef…c476	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 02:45
(anonymous) 0xa7b5…5608	Up	+5	$3	$3	1	10-16 02:00
(anonymous) 0x5092…a679	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 02:26
(anonymous) 0xc73c…42ff	Up	+5	$3	$3	1	10-16 02:00
(anonymous) 0x5e95…cd05	Up	+5	$4	$4	1	10-16 02:26
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Down	+5	$0	$0	1	10-16 02:56
Wild-Seaside 0x4884…4a5b	Down	+5	$0	$0	1	10-16 02:35
(anonymous) 0x416e…a47f	Down	+5	$2	$2	1	10-16 01:53
(anonymous) 0x7f8d…301b	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 02:56
(anonymous) 0x8312…18b2	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 02:56
(anonymous) 0x0328…b22e	Up	+4	$4	$4	1	10-16 02:56
(anonymous) 0x103c…87d0	Up	+3	$3	$3	3	10-16 02:46
(anonymous) 0xea53…5638	Up	+3	$2	$2	1	10-16 02:50
Creative-Hurt 0x91f7…932c	Up	+2	$2	$2	1	10-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0xb728…c347	Up	+2	$2	$2	1	10-16 02:56