Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$31,293
Trades
3,438
Unique wallets
670
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2026-10-22
First seen
2026-10-22
last 10-22 00:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.3¢
(top1%: 77% YES on $15.8K
vs crowd: 76% YES on $28.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 165 | $13.5K | $5.0K | +$8.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 186 | $5.2K | $1.1K | +$4.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 222 | $2.3K | $622 | +$1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 97 | $641 | $145 | +$496 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 152 | $12.3K | $3.6K | +$8.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 86 | $1.5K | $217 | +$1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 36 | $388 | $46 | +$343 |
| Median | 29 | $216 | $46 | +$170 |
| Below median | 127 | $1.2K | $255 | +$912 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 92 | $1.2K | $225 | +$944 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 94 | $3.6K | $717 | +$2.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 54 | $1.4K | $1.7K | $335 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +2,497 | $2,472 | $2,472 | 4 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,162 | $326 | $326 | 58 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,048 | $380 | $380 | 41 | 10-22 00:43 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | +1,019 | $490 | $493 | 44 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf363…c197 | Down | +995 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-22 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +982 | $633 | $633 | 58 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +927 | $916 | $916 | 17 | 10-22 00:45 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +904 | $516 | $516 | 40 | 10-22 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +859 | $250 | $250 | 25 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +851 | $236 | $236 | 16 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +824 | $180 | $180 | 67 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Up | +816 | $780 | $780 | 11 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +794 | $580 | $580 | 31 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +784 | $347 | $347 | 29 | 10-22 00:43 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +779 | $535 | $535 | 28 | 10-22 00:42 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +750 | $33 | $33 | 13 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +741 | $93 | $93 | 31 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +700 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +691 | $87 | $87 | 36 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +660 | $474 | $474 | 33 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | +563 | $131 | $131 | 20 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | +560 | $122 | $122 | 5 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5b7…d881 | Down | +532 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 10-22 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +509 | $279 | $279 | 4 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +491 | $175 | $175 | 31 | 10-22 00:43 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +482 | $14 | $14 | 19 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +477 | $318 | $318 | 26 | 10-22 00:43 |
| Purple-Teapot 0x4099…bbf5 | Down | +465 | $77 | $77 | 11 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Up | +416 | $251 | $251 | 13 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | +413 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x119c…cd04 | Up | +408 | $305 | $305 | 2 | 10-22 00:41 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +337 | $235 | $235 | 11 | 10-22 00:41 |
| Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Up | +333 | $227 | $227 | 68 | 10-22 00:42 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | +320 | $3 | $3 | 20 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +319 | $190 | $190 | 7 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +313 | $49 | $49 | 8 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7773…c4d6 | Down | +312 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 10-22 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +311 | $102 | $102 | 8 | 10-22 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x8063…ece0 | Down | +310 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Up | +300 | $294 | $294 | 5 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1014…c141 | Up | +290 | $221 | $221 | 34 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +288 | $167 | $167 | 6 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +288 | $186 | $186 | 6 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +279 | $199 | $199 | 12 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +262 | $170 | $170 | 10 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1014…c141 | Down | +256 | $57 | $57 | 38 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +255 | $37 | $37 | 13 | 10-22 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +251 | $174 | $174 | 10 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | +249 | $74 | $74 | 13 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +247 | $185 | $185 | 12 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | +237 | $152 | $152 | 7 | 10-22 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4a4…e4c6 | Up | +218 | $153 | $153 | 14 | 10-22 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +215 | $139 | $139 | 12 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xba67…4727 | Down | +201 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 10-22 00:43 |
| Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +198 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f73…6659 | Up | +196 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-22 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5df…265f | Up | +179 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 10-22 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | +175 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 10-22 00:44 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Up | +174 | $150 | $150 | 4 | 10-22 00:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 00:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xbbd1…2b11 | Up | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x663d02… |
| 10-22 00:46:05 | Tremendous-Closet 0x751a…9ea1 | Up | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x663d02… |
| 10-22 00:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x0311…04ec | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa0dae7… |
| 10-22 00:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa0dae7… |
| 10-22 00:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 139 | 99¢ | $138 | 0xdb926b… |
| 10-22 00:44:42 | Likable-Storm-Orientation 0x5cd4…d051 | Up | SELL | 139 | 99¢ | $138 | 0xdb926b… |
| 10-22 00:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x8fea…4923 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x24b6b8… |
| 10-22 00:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x24b6b8… |
| 10-22 00:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | BUY | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc13236… |
| 10-22 00:44:30 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xc13236… |
| 10-22 00:44:29 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5c3af8… |
| 10-22 00:44:29 | (anonymous) 0x0db9…eb5c | Up | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5c3af8… |
| 10-22 00:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x41c6…0806 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xaf0ec1… |
| 10-22 00:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xaf0ec1… |
| 10-22 00:44:20 | (anonymous) 0xe3d4…af2a | Up | SELL | 212 | 99¢ | $210 | 0xdd3de9… |
| 10-22 00:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 212 | 99¢ | $210 | 0xdd3de9… |
| 10-22 00:44:17 | (anonymous) 0xc998…e194 | Up | SELL | 58 | 99¢ | $57 | 0xdc394a… |
| 10-22 00:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 58 | 99¢ | $57 | 0xdc394a… |
| 10-22 00:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x8063…ece0 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfb5086… |
| 10-22 00:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xb7b8fe… |
| 10-22 00:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xfb5086… |
| 10-22 00:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x9dde…611c | Up | SELL | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xb7b8fe… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 401 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf25752… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x1014…c141 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xde71…1f10 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcec2c2… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Jealous-Spill-Terrarium 0xec4c…c9d8 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Down | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x507b…5114 | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | BUY | 169 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 2,370 | 99¢ | $2,346 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xe21a…44cb | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcec2c2… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x344c…dfc7 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf25752… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xbe30…eaf5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 520 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x055a…7bbc | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:12 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf17d32… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf40…9ce7 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb39d8f… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6018a0… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0xef49…cbca | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa1395a… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa1395a… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd64c55… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xefb1ce… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xb0dddc… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Jam-Packed-Recording 0xa560…9ccf | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xb0dddc… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x6a4d…e787 | Up | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xefb1ce… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb39d8f… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6018a0… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x58add5… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…4dfc | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd64c55… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb0dddc… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x8063…ece0 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58add5… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x1014…c141 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb0dddc… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x4089…714b | Up | BUY | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x330c20… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 95 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x330c20… |
| 10-22 00:44:11 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb0dddc… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Down | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf6090… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e1638… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9e1638… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x9d14…958a | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5292a6… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xbf6090… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x421183… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xbf6090… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xafed…2e7e | Up | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xbf6090… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Down | SELL | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x421183… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xbf6090… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xd467…d5eb | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2d4cf5… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xf5e0…92da | Up | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x9e1638… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x421183… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf6090… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d4cf5… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xf385…ffce | Up | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x421183… |
| 10-22 00:44:09 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5292a6… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc357ee… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3b2d94… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Down | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3134f4… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xd786…0412 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xef74df… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebbc49… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x750806… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdce514… |
| 10-22 00:44:08 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 53 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa35969… |