Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$500
$1,386 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$2,474
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 10:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+99.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 1% YES on $500)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $288 | $288 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $3 | $209 | $206 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $97 | $97 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $58 | $58 |
| Median | 6 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $45 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $247 | $247 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | No | +249 | $247 | $247 | 1 | 05-07 10:45 |
| Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | +80 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:09 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Sarcastic-Router 0x443e…1235 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 09:00 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xeae0…a5f5 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 16:56 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 09:40 |
| Ancient-Android 0xb846…034d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 13:16 |
| Overdue-Aquarium 0x4f1c…0006 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 12:04 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Winged-Reboot 0x740b…f7f1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 12:04 |
| Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 05:53 |
| Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Unique-Nature 0xec16…72a4 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 12:01 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:15 |
| Submissive-Squid 0x5c9d…cb94 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 15:28 |
| Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:00:25 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 59 | 99¢ | $58 | 0xfa0421… |
| 05-08 09:40:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x094464… |
| 05-08 09:00:37 | Sarcastic-Router 0x443e…1235 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x599e5e… |
| 05-08 07:49:33 | Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9c250d… |
| 05-08 07:33:28 | Neglected-Polyester 0xc3f7…c14b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6f66d… |
| 05-08 07:15:23 | Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6f1f4f… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2614… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x467f21… |
| 05-07 21:36:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0933cd… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30a20f… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa58cdb… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1293db… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xddb7a7… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc32e62… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x014202… |
| 05-07 15:11:28 | Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x681194… |
| 05-07 13:16:10 | Ancient-Android 0xb846…034d | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x1c08e6… |
| 05-07 12:04:11 | Overdue-Aquarium 0x4f1c…0006 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x77e377… |
| 05-07 12:04:09 | Winged-Reboot 0x740b…f7f1 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x630fbb… |
| 05-07 12:01:21 | Unique-Nature 0xec16…72a4 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x1877f8… |
| 05-07 11:43:34 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb4660… |
| 05-07 11:16:03 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x47cb32… |
| 05-07 11:09:35 | Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x572ab1… |
| 05-07 10:59:33 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x8e8ff5… |
| 05-07 10:45:47 | Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | No | BUY | 249 | 99¢ | $247 | 0x0ab8b3… |
| 05-07 05:53:06 | Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe8c594… |
| 05-06 16:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xeae0…a5f5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc54156… |
| 05-06 15:28:30 | Submissive-Squid 0x5c9d…cb94 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xc57b0e… |