Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$449
$4,402 in 24h
Trades
73
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$2,900
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 06:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $43 | $42 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $1 | $381 | $380 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 5 | — | $134 | $134 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $230 | $230 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $35 | $35 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +201 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:31 |
| Potable-Clipboard 0xea8d…d40e | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | +128 | $128 | $128 | 16 | 05-13 20:23 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +60 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-14 03:20 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 03:56 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 03:44 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 03:02 |
| Grubby-Chance 0x9bce…dbdf | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 02:45 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:07 |
| Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:46 |
| Oval-Prostrate 0xbc27…9811 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:00:12 | Potable-Clipboard 0xea8d…d40e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xeca462… |
| 05-14 05:10:37 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ba014… |
| 05-14 04:06:15 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67fddb… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf11bcd… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x661594… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d24b0… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7185a… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe88079… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e170f… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x070033… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x09ca1b… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x09dd7e… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7c737… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b2bf0… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee7a19… |
| 05-14 03:56:13 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4347c… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x909f40… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9047f… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25fc99… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd29f1… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66c7f5… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45f4c0… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c6d46… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xc0078d… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61d78a… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e6078… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e0f51… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b1beb… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8b2b8… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x556438… |
| 05-14 03:56:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb5a9f… |
| 05-14 03:50:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb95765… |
| 05-14 03:46:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8a52d… |
| 05-14 03:46:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00adb6… |
| 05-14 03:46:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ae460… |
| 05-14 03:46:00 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x367e73… |
| 05-14 03:44:59 | Oval-Prostrate 0xbc27…9811 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x62e034… |
| 05-14 03:44:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08b33… |
| 05-14 03:44:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec99db… |
| 05-14 03:44:19 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8fad93… |
| 05-14 03:31:25 | Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc619da… |
| 05-14 03:31:01 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7956ad… |
| 05-14 03:20:50 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ddcb7… |
| 05-14 03:19:36 | Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x8e3d6c… |
| 05-14 03:11:54 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa82178… |
| 05-14 03:07:13 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4fdf14… |
| 05-14 03:05:08 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41da48… |
| 05-14 03:02:01 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xbd57d8… |
| 05-14 03:00:51 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6014f3… |
| 05-14 03:00:27 | Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x591971… |
| 05-14 03:00:09 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1dc1ef… |
| 05-14 02:57:23 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xada64a… |
| 05-14 02:45:39 | Grubby-Chance 0x9bce…dbdf | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3a2754… |
| 05-14 01:31:40 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9748ba… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22e57b… |
| 05-13 20:23:05 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x962155… |
| 05-13 20:23:03 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x67705e… |
| 05-13 20:23:01 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc58f47… |
| 05-13 20:23:01 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x99caab… |
| 05-13 20:22:59 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd8562c… |
| 05-13 20:22:56 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x65024b… |
| 05-13 20:22:56 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x54fbe0… |
| 05-13 20:22:54 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x71b027… |
| 05-13 20:22:54 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc9f22c… |
| 05-13 20:22:54 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb4e116… |
| 05-13 20:22:47 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x05d192… |
| 05-13 20:22:47 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd2c431… |
| 05-13 20:22:45 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa9201b… |
| 05-13 20:22:44 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x301e37… |
| 05-13 20:22:42 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xce9228… |
| 05-13 20:22:40 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe55aee… |
| 05-13 00:01:01 | Elated-Cactus 0xd1a7…2bdc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1cf169… |
| 05-12 07:11:18 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8de6cb… |