Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
open
Total volume
$430
Trades
103
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$11,072
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 00:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.2¢
(top1%: 65% YES on $162
vs crowd: 50% YES on $360)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $86 | $38 | +$49 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $33 | $18 | +$14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $62 | $123 | $61 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $106 | $56 | +$50 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $29 | $30 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
| Below median | 6 | $26 | $27 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $5 | $30 | $25 |
| unranked | 4 | $12 | $7 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +137 | $57 | $57 | 6 | 05-07 00:10 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +94 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +81 | $30 | $30 | 10 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +52 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Down | +41 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 05-07 00:11 |
| Tremendous-Bamboo 0x1c8f…57df | Down | +37 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-06 23:57 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +33 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +28 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 05-07 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +23 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-07 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x98e8…d17b | Down | +22 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 00:11 |
| Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Up | +21 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-07 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | +20 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Up | +16 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 00:02 |
| Wealthy-Weakness 0x60e4…f926 | Down | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x76d4…c512 | Down | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 00:11 |
| Diligent-Reflection 0x7503…c91e | Down | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 00:11 |
| Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Down | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa621…6e29 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 00:10 |
| Cluttered-Element 0x1f55…daae | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 00:08 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:08 |
| Flamboyant-Harm 0xd9db…48a1 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 00:11 |
| Gripping-Supervisor 0xd3f0…01f3 | Up | +5 | $3 | $19 | 3 | 05-07 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf96…56e2 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:10 |
| Overdue-Hallway 0x11c1…96f0 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:09 |
| Authentic-Attitude 0x913a…5614 | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b85…3f13 | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 00:10 |
| Carefree-Shrine 0x3721…3abe | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:08 |
| Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fb0…3e9e | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 00:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 00:13:01 | Posh-Igloo 0x4d5b…acdc | Down | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6e65fb… |
| 05-07 00:12:59 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x9029d4… |
| 05-07 00:12:54 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf1f8a8… |
| 05-07 00:12:52 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xf5893e… |
| 05-07 00:12:52 | Legal-Signify 0x4fac…20ce | Up | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x6165ad… |
| 05-07 00:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x9522…11cc | Up | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xe790b4… |
| 05-07 00:12:47 | Tart-Phenomenon 0x681f…02d0 | Up | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xc98e9a… |
| 05-07 00:12:47 | Legal-Signify 0x4fac…20ce | Up | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xaa14aa… |
| 05-07 00:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xbe0758… |
| 05-07 00:12:43 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbc6e4c… |
| 05-07 00:12:43 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 2 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc54443… |
| 05-07 00:12:40 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x169dae… |
| 05-07 00:12:40 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb78994… |
| 05-07 00:12:40 | (anonymous) 0x9522…11cc | Up | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x45596f… |
| 05-07 00:12:40 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x70aa73… |
| 05-07 00:12:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0e7dc0… |
| 05-07 00:12:34 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xaa9fb2… |
| 05-07 00:12:33 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x7e60bc… |
| 05-07 00:11:31 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x1d70c3… |
| 05-07 00:11:31 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Down | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x27de2c… |
| 05-07 00:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x76d4…c512 | Down | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x306572… |
| 05-07 00:11:30 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xe9110c… |
| 05-07 00:11:30 | Flamboyant-Harm 0xd9db…48a1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xb703cf… |
| 05-07 00:11:28 | (anonymous) 0x1fb0…3e9e | Up | SELL | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x30e3eb… |
| 05-07 00:11:23 | Gripping-Supervisor 0xd3f0…01f3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x2dc763… |
| 05-07 00:11:23 | Improbable-Workbench 0x48d5…59e2 | Down | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x6e866c… |
| 05-07 00:11:21 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 7 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x11ce1f… |
| 05-07 00:11:21 | Gripping-Supervisor 0xd3f0…01f3 | Down | SELL | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x875c06… |
| 05-07 00:11:21 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xc8adb1… |
| 05-07 00:11:07 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 35 | 47¢ | $16 | 0x634b80… |
| 05-07 00:11:07 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 29 | 47¢ | $14 | 0x52803e… |
| 05-07 00:11:07 | Gripping-Supervisor 0xd3f0…01f3 | Down | BUY | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x02ed8e… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x1fb0…3e9e | Down | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xcd3490… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | SELL | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x027709… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x1fb0…3e9e | Up | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x58a5d5… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x4d9f24… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 6 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x54dc6f… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x12797a… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xeb02aa… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | BUY | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x320156… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Down | BUY | 9 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x0a56c2… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x98e8…d17b | Down | BUY | 22 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x460c4b… |
| 05-07 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | SELL | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x51e14d… |
| 05-07 00:11:03 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x19c578… |
| 05-07 00:11:03 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xfcffec… |
| 05-07 00:11:00 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0xa25bc9… |
| 05-07 00:10:58 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x1ba2fa… |
| 05-07 00:10:55 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xe799f4… |
| 05-07 00:10:53 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x7df980… |
| 05-07 00:10:53 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xca4c2f… |
| 05-07 00:10:51 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x2116e2… |
| 05-07 00:10:51 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x565e26… |
| 05-07 00:10:46 | Gripping-Supervisor 0xd3f0…01f3 | Up | SELL | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0xf123fa… |
| 05-07 00:10:46 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x491fa7… |
| 05-07 00:10:44 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x55fc1b… |
| 05-07 00:10:27 | Wealthy-Weakness 0x60e4…f926 | Down | BUY | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x7af5f3… |
| 05-07 00:10:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x761b95… |
| 05-07 00:10:25 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 24 | 57¢ | $14 | 0x213105… |
| 05-07 00:10:21 | Flaky-Forehead 0xfd71…722e | Down | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x55040a… |
| 05-07 00:10:21 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x61fb1e… |
| 05-07 00:10:21 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Down | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x4c341f… |
| 05-07 00:10:20 | (anonymous) 0xa621…6e29 | Down | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xdc7eda… |
| 05-07 00:10:20 | (anonymous) 0xa621…6e29 | Down | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x48ef70… |
| 05-07 00:10:18 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Up | BUY | 21 | 56¢ | $12 | 0xaaa05a… |
| 05-07 00:10:18 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 43 | 57¢ | $25 | 0x022095… |
| 05-07 00:10:18 | (anonymous) 0x2b85…3f13 | Down | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xdc8a57… |
| 05-07 00:10:18 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xc5c2d4… |
| 05-07 00:10:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x60dd31… |
| 05-07 00:10:14 | Posh-Igloo 0x4d5b…acdc | Down | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x675ba9… |
| 05-07 00:10:13 | (anonymous) 0xcf96…56e2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xc346c2… |
| 05-07 00:09:24 | Overdue-Hallway 0x11c1…96f0 | Down | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x63ab2a… |
| 05-07 00:09:15 | Diligent-Reflection 0x7503…c91e | Down | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x818cf1… |
| 05-07 00:09:15 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | SELL | 21 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xa949df… |
| 05-07 00:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x79ad…ad55 | Up | SELL | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x3d6ea0… |
| 05-07 00:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x79ad…ad55 | Down | SELL | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x943296… |
| 05-07 00:08:45 | Carefree-Shrine 0x3721…3abe | Down | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x0f33e5… |
| 05-07 00:08:38 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf0755e… |
| 05-07 00:08:38 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Down | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x237ca2… |
| 05-07 00:08:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd63bf4… |
| 05-07 00:08:36 | Authentic-Attitude 0x913a…5614 | Up | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xb09a93… |
| 05-07 00:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x79ad…ad55 | Up | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x630370… |
| 05-07 00:08:31 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xce1577… |
| 05-07 00:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x79ad…ad55 | Up | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xa9f991… |
| 05-07 00:08:29 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xfeb5f5… |
| 05-07 00:08:22 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 16 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xfc3a9a… |
| 05-07 00:08:21 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xd6fef0… |
| 05-07 00:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x79ad…ad55 | Up | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x6aac6f… |
| 05-07 00:08:14 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x16e4e4… |
| 05-07 00:08:14 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa44c9e… |
| 05-07 00:08:14 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 26 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xbf9f74… |
| 05-07 00:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x79ad…ad55 | Up | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x72af81… |
| 05-07 00:08:12 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x1cd4fc… |
| 05-07 00:08:12 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x67473c… |
| 05-07 00:08:08 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x14ceb6… |
| 05-07 00:08:08 | Cluttered-Element 0x1f55…daae | Up | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xd7a62c… |
| 05-07 00:08:07 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Down | BUY | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0xa4d6e6… |
| 05-07 00:08:05 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x957f73… |
| 05-07 00:02:11 | Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Up | BUY | 16 | 56¢ | $9 | 0x839489… |
| 05-07 00:02:11 | Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Down | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x9411d1… |
| 05-07 00:00:47 | Gripping-Supervisor 0xd3f0…01f3 | Up | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x17eb76… |