Will Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?
open
Total volume
$848
$3,505 in 24h
Trades
51
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$5,958
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 22:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $190
vs crowd: 2% YES on $844)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $211 | $211 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $550 | $550 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $18 | $65 | $48 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $190 | $190 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $427 | $427 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $208 | $208 |
| unranked | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decimal-Moose 0x0081…dc8b | Yes | +229 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 20:07 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +206 | $201 | $201 | 18 | 05-11 21:14 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +192 | $190 | $190 | 7 | 05-11 02:44 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +94 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +81 | $79 | $79 | 5 | 05-10 06:56 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-10 07:02 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-07 06:53 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 22:07:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2b14d7… |
| 05-11 21:14:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0x7fa772… |
| 05-11 20:28:18 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x4d57dd… |
| 05-11 08:25:05 | Zealous-Sparerib 0x24a5…b3bb | Yes | SELL | 64 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xce7cdc… |
| 05-11 08:15:20 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd1788c… |
| 05-11 08:15:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3642e7… |
| 05-11 07:25:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbcd8d6… |
| 05-11 02:44:58 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7c04ed… |
| 05-11 02:20:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x206802… |
| 05-10 20:41:47 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd257a6… |
| 05-10 20:07:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3df028… |
| 05-10 18:46:20 | (anonymous) 0x60c2…001c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9aa141… |
| 05-10 14:06:15 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xc1c12b… |
| 05-10 13:56:57 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x818d0a… |
| 05-10 13:56:53 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xf41622… |
| 05-10 13:56:46 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x019723… |
| 05-10 13:56:43 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x825919… |
| 05-10 13:56:43 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x3c2a3e… |
| 05-10 09:18:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa07168… |
| 05-10 07:02:49 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x962255… |
| 05-10 07:02:38 | Scared-Fencing 0x4c2a…5a26 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebbd98… |
| 05-10 07:02:36 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xac54cb… |
| 05-10 07:02:36 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | BUY | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x125f53… |
| 05-10 07:02:35 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xebe047… |
| 05-10 06:56:50 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0xa7b98f… |
| 05-10 06:56:50 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x6d17a6… |
| 05-10 06:56:50 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x5d2f83… |
| 05-10 06:52:31 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe69a19… |
| 05-10 06:48:42 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1b4165… |
| 05-10 06:48:03 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x089239… |
| 05-10 06:43:58 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3117db… |
| 05-10 06:43:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xe47cbf… |
| 05-10 06:43:53 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x96614c… |
| 05-10 03:54:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xc82d41… |
| 05-10 02:18:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x28838a… |
| 05-09 18:22:00 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xb9e4ed… |
| 05-09 15:52:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x752c1a… |
| 05-09 15:03:47 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x5a2f1f… |
| 05-09 15:03:45 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x13cb35… |
| 05-08 20:07:02 | Decimal-Moose 0x0081…dc8b | Yes | BUY | 229 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x889862… |
| 05-08 06:20:12 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xad69af… |
| 05-08 05:45:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x758cc9… |
| 05-08 03:46:54 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xf08e43… |
| 05-07 18:56:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x40e636… |
| 05-07 11:16:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x4c99c1… |
| 05-07 11:16:16 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xa4f1c7… |
| 05-07 11:11:16 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xb52516… |
| 05-07 06:53:30 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xba034f… |
| 05-07 06:53:30 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x781834… |
| 05-07 06:48:41 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbfaa22… |
| 05-07 06:33:29 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x61b2a3… |