Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$2,813
Trades
427
Unique wallets
114
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
67¢
Latest NO mid
33¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 22:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.5¢
(top1%: 50% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 58% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 45 | $707 | $705 | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $392 | $241 | +$151 |
| 🐟 Fish | 31 | $342 | $97 | +$245 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $22 | $8 | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 43 | $640 | $649 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $239 | $129 | +$109 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $9 | $2 | +$7 |
| Median | 7 | $27 | $1 | +$25 |
| Below median | 13 | $57 | $43 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $104 | $52 | +$52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $64 | $83 | $19 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $324 | $91 | +$233 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | +330 | $128 | $128 | 29 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | +210 | $125 | $125 | 14 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x45b1…1379 | Up | +208 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 10-21 22:30 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | +192 | $49 | $49 | 8 | 10-21 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | +155 | $63 | $63 | 7 | 10-21 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | +154 | $40 | $40 | 9 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | +130 | $42 | $42 | 14 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0146…b7c7 | Up | +127 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 10-21 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | +124 | $86 | $86 | 14 | 10-21 22:41 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Up | +117 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +109 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd168…7eb5 | Down | +92 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-21 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +90 | $24 | $24 | 12 | 10-21 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +88 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | +84 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | +82 | $39 | $39 | 12 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +80 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 10-21 22:30 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +73 | $26 | $27 | 7 | 10-21 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4749…48e9 | Up | +72 | $55 | $77 | 8 | 10-21 22:42 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +72 | $41 | $42 | 5 | 10-21 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | +70 | $53 | $53 | 6 | 10-21 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5623…ac83 | Up | +65 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-21 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | +57 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | +56 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +54 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-21 22:30 |
| Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | +53 | $37 | $37 | 10 | 10-21 22:43 |
| Svelte-Painting 0x1332…c83a | Up | +52 | $21 | $21 | 6 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfb4…c563 | Up | +51 | $21 | $21 | 6 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x424e…263b | Up | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | +50 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 10-21 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | +50 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 10-21 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | +45 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 10-21 22:42 |
| Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Down | +42 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-21 22:30 |
| Vicious-Bowl 0x5042…f296 | Down | +41 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 10-21 22:29 |
| Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Up | +39 | $11 | $11 | 8 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | +39 | $16 | $36 | 7 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa997…ea38 | Down | +36 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-21 22:37 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +35 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | +35 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-21 22:42 |
| Portly-Heroine 0x637f…38d0 | Down | +34 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-21 22:43 |
| Foolhardy-Suggestion 0x2216…aecc | Down | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x91d2…38fc | Up | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 10-21 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e4c…fcc7 | Up | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-21 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6da8…764b | Up | +29 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-21 22:39 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Down | +27 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 10-21 22:38 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Up | +27 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 10-21 22:42 |
| Utilized-Corn 0xfc10…1c00 | Up | +26 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-21 22:28 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +25 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-21 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d61…6d16 | Down | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x85d5…d070 | Up | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-21 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | +24 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-21 22:33 |
| Fast-Western 0x29cc…19ae | Down | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-21 22:43 |
| Unaware-Molding 0xe36a…6a85 | Down | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-21 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2066…7eae | Up | +21 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-21 22:42 |
| Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | Down | +21 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-21 22:40 |
| Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Down | +20 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-21 22:30 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | +20 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 10-21 22:33 |
| Clever-Plastic 0x74f7…0cd6 | Up | +20 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-21 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Up | +20 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 10-21 22:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 22:45:20 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x58831d… |
| 10-21 22:45:20 | Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x58831d… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x912ecf… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | Unaware-Molding 0xe36a…6a85 | Down | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xf520ac… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf520ac… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bd700… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x912ecf… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x8421…f3d8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab9a00… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | Foolhardy-Suggestion 0x2216…aecc | Down | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x49c291… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab9a00… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | Fast-Western 0x29cc…19ae | Down | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x2bd700… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bd700… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x49c291… |
| 10-21 22:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab9a00… |
| 10-21 22:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x8d61…6d16 | Down | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x9b91e8… |
| 10-21 22:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b91e8… |
| 10-21 22:43:36 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b91e8… |
| 10-21 22:43:32 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2910c9… |
| 10-21 22:43:32 | Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2910c9… |
| 10-21 22:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xd6af…2723 | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x297f90… |
| 10-21 22:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x297f90… |
| 10-21 22:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14464e… |
| 10-21 22:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xd1e8…239f | Down | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x14464e… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1bee45… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3707b8… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x384943… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x3707b8… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | Babyish-Aide 0x8824…d492 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1af590… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1af590… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x384943… |
| 10-21 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1bee45… |
| 10-21 22:43:26 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe6addb… |
| 10-21 22:43:26 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xbadde1… |
| 10-21 22:43:26 | Vibrant-Monastery 0x311c…f89c | Down | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe6addb… |
| 10-21 22:43:26 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbadde1… |
| 10-21 22:43:26 | Vibrant-Monastery 0x311c…f89c | Down | SELL | 34 | 93¢ | $32 | 0xd9d07c… |
| 10-21 22:43:26 | Portly-Heroine 0x637f…38d0 | Down | BUY | 34 | 93¢ | $32 | 0xd9d07c… |
| 10-21 22:43:24 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xb47834… |
| 10-21 22:43:24 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x14cb3f… |
| 10-21 22:43:24 | Vibrant-Monastery 0x311c…f89c | Down | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xb47834… |
| 10-21 22:43:24 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x14cb3f… |
| 10-21 22:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd13953… |
| 10-21 22:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb600c8… |
| 10-21 22:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x93b9…d1f6 | Up | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb600c8… |
| 10-21 22:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x20c9…e915 | Up | SELL | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd13953… |
| 10-21 22:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe0a8eb… |
| 10-21 22:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xe0a8eb… |
| 10-21 22:43:11 | Webbed-Fallacy 0xa293…f218 | Down | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x396cf9… |
| 10-21 22:43:11 | Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Up | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x396cf9… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf80ef0… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 46 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x92abcc… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x4d76a4… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…3028 | Up | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x92abcc… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x281e…9ed9 | Up | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x4d76a4… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Up | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x92abcc… |
| 10-21 22:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x8421…f3d8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf80ef0… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x504299… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0xf336…868b | Up | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xccff91… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xccff91… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x372689… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x3654b9… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Up | BUY | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xd7ecd6… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0xf336…868b | Up | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xd7ecd6… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x394685… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x504299… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x711a4d… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc32bce… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Soupy-Sanctity 0x9fd6…633d | Up | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xccff91… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7869ac… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x372689… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x3654b9… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x394685… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc32bce… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xf0b30e… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd7ecd6… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7869ac… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | Cheerful-Visitor 0x3a8f…43eb | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x711a4d… |
| 10-21 22:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x977e…0556 | Down | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xf0b30e… |
| 10-21 22:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x5f8b26… |
| 10-21 22:43:03 | (anonymous) 0xb90d…75d5 | Up | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x5f8b26… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xd88b55… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xbf0c6e… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | Svelte-Painting 0x1332…c83a | Up | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xbf0c6e… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | Svelte-Painting 0x1332…c83a | Up | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x7e108b… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Up | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x33f83f… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x9dd308… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x3258af… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0xbfb4…c563 | Up | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xd88b55… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0xbfb4…c563 | Up | BUY | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x9dd308… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0xbfb4…c563 | Up | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x3258af… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x33f83f… |
| 10-21 22:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x7e108b… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xa99d08… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x831fef… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xafe1c1… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 11 | 60¢ | $7 | 0x5941f6… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 27 | 60¢ | $16 | 0x44c5c7… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x39302d… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x2a69f4… |
| 10-21 22:42:53 | (anonymous) 0xbfb4…c563 | Up | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x2a69f4… |