Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 16?
open
Total volume
$773
Trades
50
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$119
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-17 02:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.9¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $347
vs crowd: 20% YES on $686)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $33 | $446 | $412 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $87 | $88 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $12 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $18 | $2 | +$16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $15 | $332 | $317 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $71 | $75 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 2 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| Below median | 5 | $14 | $30 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $21 | $1 | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $98 | $98 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +332 | $332 | $332 | 1 | 05-17 00:46 |
| Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | +108 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-17 02:09 |
| Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | Yes | +107 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-12 04:09 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 00:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +93 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 05-16 23:53 |
| Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | +86 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 05-16 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +77 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 04:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +57 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-16 18:45 |
| Witty-Conviction 0x134a…9e42 | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-16 23:53 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 00:46 |
| Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 00:46 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 00:46 |
| Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | +39 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-15 22:23 |
| Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-16 22:22 |
| Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 04:09 |
| Lonely-Hiring 0xc904…1e9a | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 17:11 |
| Female-Teepee 0x28da…a414 | Yes | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 18:45 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 02:09 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:10 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-17 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94b…0639 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 16:50 |
| Unknown-Jackfruit 0xb593…9039 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 22:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 02:09:10 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf334ef… |
| 05-17 02:09:10 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf334ef… |
| 05-17 02:09:10 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf334ef… |
| 05-17 01:56:16 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeccf6d… |
| 05-17 01:56:16 | Sardonic-Leadership 0x43e3…329a | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xeccf6d… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 332 | 100¢ | $332 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-17 00:46:06 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a49b… |
| 05-16 23:53:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd86e9f… |
| 05-16 23:53:08 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd86e9f… |
| 05-16 23:53:08 | Witty-Conviction 0x134a…9e42 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xd86e9f… |
| 05-16 23:53:08 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xd86e9f… |
| 05-16 23:20:12 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | No | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xc55f9e… |
| 05-16 23:20:12 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xc55f9e… |
| 05-16 22:25:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x6ebb54… |
| 05-16 22:25:20 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0x6ebb54… |
| 05-16 22:22:44 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0f3670… |
| 05-16 22:22:44 | Unknown-Jackfruit 0xb593…9039 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0f3670… |
| 05-16 22:22:41 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x8d9bc4… |
| 05-16 22:22:41 | Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x8d9bc4… |
| 05-16 22:22:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x8d9bc4… |
| 05-16 18:45:13 | Female-Teepee 0x28da…a414 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xa588cd… |
| 05-16 18:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa588cd… |
| 05-16 18:45:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa588cd… |
| 05-16 16:10:12 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xdbce7a… |
| 05-16 16:10:12 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xdbce7a… |
| 05-16 09:22:20 | Sardonic-Leadership 0x43e3…329a | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3b48f5… |
| 05-16 09:22:20 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3b48f5… |
| 05-15 23:03:49 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x718cc0… |
| 05-15 23:03:49 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x718cc0… |
| 05-15 22:23:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 18 | 46¢ | $8 | 0x0db222… |
| 05-15 22:23:48 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 55¢ | $21 | 0x0db222… |
| 05-15 22:23:48 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 55¢ | $12 | 0x0db222… |
| 05-15 17:14:08 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xcaacb4… |
| 05-15 17:14:08 | Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xcaacb4… |
| 05-15 17:11:33 | Lonely-Hiring 0xc904…1e9a | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xed0afa… |
| 05-15 17:11:33 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | No | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xed0afa… |
| 05-15 16:50:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xb2d11f… |
| 05-15 16:50:06 | (anonymous) 0xf94b…0639 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb2d11f… |
| 05-14 14:27:52 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xda6178… |
| 05-14 14:27:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xda6178… |
| 05-14 12:22:38 | Simple-Collectivization 0x1c0b…55e1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x0d28dc… |
| 05-14 12:22:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x0d28dc… |
| 05-12 04:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 77 | 65¢ | $50 | 0x8f9db3… |
| 05-12 04:09:48 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | Yes | BUY | 107 | 35¢ | $37 | 0x8f9db3… |
| 05-12 04:09:48 | Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | No | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x8f9db3… |