Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$46,458

Trades

4,251

Unique wallets

968

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-12

First seen

2026-07-12

last 07-12 23:50

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +5,635 (anon) +2,000 False-Certification +1,977 (anon) +1,600 Rough-Thing +1,303 (anon) +1,093 (anon) +1,045 Popular-Insurrection +1,042

NO holders

Grave-Coconut +4,000 Political-Assignment +2,975 Juicy-Budget +1,571 (anon) +1,313 Rough-Thing +1,282 (anon) +1,248 Slow-Minute +1,119 (anon) +1,111

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.7¢ (top1%: 13% YES on $24.9K vs crowd: 13% YES on $48.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	157	$3.1K	$29.1K	$26.0K
🐬 Dolphin	275	$2.0K	$9.6K	$7.6K
🐟 Fish	346	$712	$3.2K	$2.5K
🦐 Shrimp	190	$357	$406	$50

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	154	$3.3K	$21.5K	$18.2K
🏆 Top 5%	180	$244	$5.0K	$4.7K
✅ Top 10%	54	$271	$378	$107
Median	54	$75	$233	$159
Below median	213	$258	$1.3K	$1.1K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	130	$394	$2.1K	$1.7K
🔻 Bottom 5%	126	$546	$5.2K	$4.6K
💀 Bottom 1%	57	$1.0K	$6.6K	$5.5K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x08e4…ef71	Up	+5,635	$300	$300	5	07-12 23:48
Grave-Coconut 0x986b…bdc6	Down	+4,000	$3,960	$3,960	3	07-12 23:48
Political-Assignment 0x41ff…faea	Down	+2,975	$2,880	$2,880	33	07-12 23:49
(anonymous) 0xf1a4…9779	Up	+2,000	$20	$20	1	07-12 23:49
False-Certification 0x9e99…e6d3	Up	+1,977	$120	$120	3	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176	Up	+1,600	$19	$59	24	07-12 23:48
Juicy-Budget 0x68f6…9533	Down	+1,571	$1,542	$1,542	23	07-12 23:49
(anonymous) 0x2b03…1e27	Down	+1,313	$1,280	$1,280	23	07-12 23:49
Rough-Thing 0x6663…68ca	Up	+1,303	$50	$50	108	07-12 23:47
Rough-Thing 0x6663…68ca	Down	+1,282	$1,219	$1,219	72	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+1,248	$1,141	$1,141	50	07-12 23:48
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	Down	+1,119	$1,108	$1,108	13	07-12 23:50
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Down	+1,111	$950	$950	64	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Up	+1,093	$132	$132	72	07-12 23:48
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+1,080	$826	$826	9	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0x2aa2…b59c	Up	+1,045	$147	$147	2	07-12 23:46
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+1,042	$136	$136	36	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0x0490…9793	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	1	07-12 23:48
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+960	$239	$239	8	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0x7109…f4c9	Down	+900	$891	$891	13	07-12 23:49
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Down	+850	$602	$602	12	07-12 23:47
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Up	+800	$229	$229	12	07-12 23:47
Numb-Bedroom 0x64a4…c103	Down	+697	$670	$670	29	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0xb5b3…507b	Up	+667	$10	$10	2	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0x4ab7…80f6	Up	+658	$15	$15	3	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Up	+642	$97	$97	47	07-12 23:48
Good-Authenticity 0x71d2…4be6	Up	+625	$25	$25	1	07-12 23:47
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+624	$44	$44	20	07-12 23:47
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	Up	+600	$6	$6	1	07-12 23:48
Ornery-Praise 0xe17b…5f8a	Up	+586	$30	$30	2	07-12 23:47
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+585	$523	$757	22	07-12 23:48
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+577	$468	$468	28	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+531	$421	$421	46	07-12 23:48
Exemplary-Lanai 0x6182…5938	Down	+530	$500	$500	4	07-12 23:46
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+528	$455	$455	7	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0xc864…e6a6	Up	+500	$5	$5	1	07-12 23:48
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Up	+500	$5	$5	6	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Down	+458	$442	$442	6	07-12 23:48
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Up	+445	$81	$81	10	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0x5083…b0ea	Down	+442	$317	$317	1	07-12 23:45
(anonymous) 0xc950…0e82	Down	+425	$400	$400	4	07-12 23:46
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+420	$305	$305	7	07-12 23:46
(anonymous) 0x26e6…8303	Up	+417	$25	$25	1	07-12 23:46
Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9	Down	+407	$333	$333	27	07-12 23:48
Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123	Down	+400	$392	$392	1	07-12 23:48
(anonymous) 0x54c4…caae	Up	+392	$200	$200	1	07-12 23:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+370	$257	$257	28	07-12 23:46
(anonymous) 0x98c0…afd0	Up	+367	$7	$7	3	07-12 23:48
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+363	$262	$262	14	07-12 23:46
(anonymous) 0xf4e2…0f27	Up	+363	$103	$103	71	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0xf4e6…f20b	Up	+360	$180	$180	15	07-12 23:45
Messy-Jade 0xcee3…cc6f	Up	+350	$25	$25	1	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0xe4d3…e45c	Up	+337	$100	$100	1	07-12 23:45
(anonymous) 0xe055…0628	Down	+336	$319	$319	6	07-12 23:48
Legitimate-Randomization 0x1faa…ad8a	Up	+334	$1	$12	47	07-12 23:48
Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88	Up	+324	$4	$4	6	07-12 23:49
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+318	$237	$237	35	07-12 23:47
(anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b	Down	+303	$300	$300	1	07-12 23:49
Gruesome-Hurdle 0xb5ad…4be9	Down	+300	$297	$297	3	07-12 23:48
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+300	$264	$264	6	07-12 23:48