Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $420?
No won
Total volume
$1,608
Trades
70
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-08 21:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+41.6¢
(top1%: 95% YES on $795
vs crowd: 54% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $744 | $174 | +$570 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $36 | $242 | $207 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $15 | $284 | $269 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $35 | $14 | +$21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $758 | $37 | +$721 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $362 | $362 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $20 | $20 | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 6 | $35 | $24 | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $17 | $264 | $247 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +1,078 | $741 | $741 | 7 | 05-08 16:20 |
| Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b | No | +970 | $252 | $252 | 3 | 05-07 15:18 |
| Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 05-08 18:09 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +137 | $137 | $137 | 5 | 05-08 21:24 |
| Impractical-Net 0x21b5…1db6 | No | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-08 17:51 |
| Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | +105 | $96 | $96 | 4 | 05-08 17:52 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 20:00 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +75 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +51 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-06 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x18b3…f704 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-08 16:32 |
| Murky-Symptom 0x5b56…9100 | Yes | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-08 08:07 |
| Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-08 16:20 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 16:04 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Mindless-Case 0x447f…f362 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| All-Disguise 0x41d7…7c97 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 14:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 21:24:23 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x08ed0f… |
| 05-08 21:24:23 | Anchored-Recession 0x690e…7ba6 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x08ed0f… |
| 05-08 20:19:09 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x05dc7f… |
| 05-08 20:19:09 | Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x05dc7f… |
| 05-08 20:05:16 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x06c9b7… |
| 05-08 20:05:16 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x06c9b7… |
| 05-08 20:00:57 | Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe36877… |
| 05-08 20:00:57 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe36877… |
| 05-08 20:00:36 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x5453ad… |
| 05-08 20:00:36 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5453ad… |
| 05-08 19:59:57 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x932276… |
| 05-08 19:59:57 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x932276… |
| 05-08 19:59:43 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa99e18… |
| 05-08 19:59:43 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb949a8… |
| 05-08 19:59:43 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa99e18… |
| 05-08 19:59:43 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb949a8… |
| 05-08 19:59:41 | Mindless-Case 0x447f…f362 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x362607… |
| 05-08 19:59:41 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x362607… |
| 05-08 18:09:09 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4fa059… |
| 05-08 18:09:09 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4fa059… |
| 05-08 18:02:44 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xeb7337… |
| 05-08 18:02:44 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xeb7337… |
| 05-08 17:52:56 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xcdfdb6… |
| 05-08 17:52:56 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xcdfdb6… |
| 05-08 17:51:37 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x6d77e1… |
| 05-08 17:51:37 | Impractical-Net 0x21b5…1db6 | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x6d77e1… |
| 05-08 17:51:14 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x1099eb… |
| 05-08 17:51:14 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x1099eb… |
| 05-08 16:51:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9574f4… |
| 05-08 16:51:16 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9574f4… |
| 05-08 16:42:51 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x140fb7… |
| 05-08 16:42:51 | Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x140fb7… |
| 05-08 16:32:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa84d49… |
| 05-08 16:32:00 | (anonymous) 0x18b3…f704 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa84d49… |
| 05-08 16:28:05 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x73ffe1… |
| 05-08 16:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x18b3…f704 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x73ffe1… |
| 05-08 16:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x18b3…f704 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x63aa18… |
| 05-08 16:27:30 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0x63aa18… |
| 05-08 16:20:41 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd68fb6… |
| 05-08 16:20:41 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd68fb6… |
| 05-08 16:09:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe52e24… |
| 05-08 16:09:58 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe52e24… |
| 05-08 16:04:24 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6dcc4b… |
| 05-08 16:04:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6dcc4b… |
| 05-08 14:45:27 | Anchored-Recession 0x690e…7ba6 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6f0660… |
| 05-08 14:45:27 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 52 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6f0660… |
| 05-08 08:07:17 | Anchored-Recession 0x690e…7ba6 | No | BUY | 14 | 66¢ | $9 | 0xb9e8b8… |
| 05-08 08:07:17 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xb9e8b8… |
| 05-07 15:18:21 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 461 | 75¢ | $346 | 0x792b7e… |
| 05-07 15:18:21 | Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b | No | BUY | 461 | 25¢ | $115 | 0x792b7e… |
| 05-07 15:11:00 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x76c281… |
| 05-07 15:11:00 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x9393ef… |
| 05-07 15:11:00 | Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b | No | BUY | 200 | 25¢ | $50 | 0x9393ef… |
| 05-07 15:11:00 | Murky-Symptom 0x5b56…9100 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x76c281… |
| 05-07 14:52:51 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 309 | 72¢ | $222 | 0xf8bd38… |
| 05-07 14:52:51 | Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b | No | BUY | 309 | 28¢ | $86 | 0xf8bd38… |
| 05-07 14:13:53 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x8bc92a… |
| 05-07 14:13:53 | All-Disguise 0x41d7…7c97 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x8bc92a… |
| 05-07 14:05:22 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x504e8c… |
| 05-07 14:05:22 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x504e8c… |
| 05-07 08:07:47 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 52 | 42¢ | $22 | 0x6e5a63… |
| 05-07 08:07:47 | Anchored-Recession 0x690e…7ba6 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 58¢ | $30 | 0x6e5a63… |
| 05-06 14:14:00 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x0cb9f3… |
| 05-06 14:14:00 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x6a7657… |
| 05-06 14:14:00 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x6a7657… |
| 05-06 14:14:00 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x0cb9f3… |
| 05-06 13:52:56 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 31 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xe7142a… |
| 05-06 13:52:56 | Testy-Seafood 0x55c0…6c7b | Yes | SELL | 31 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xe7142a… |
| 05-04 19:52:26 | Testy-Seafood 0x55c0…6c7b | Yes | BUY | 31 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xc7e4ce… |
| 05-04 19:52:26 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 31 | 71¢ | $22 | 0xc7e4ce… |