Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$458
$2,916 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$2,104
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 14:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $101 | $101 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $2 | $353 | $351 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $75 | $75 |
| Median | 7 | $2 | $29 | $27 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $267 | $267 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x84c2…c908 | Yes | +251 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:59 |
| Crushing-Roar 0xf767…f052 | No | +250 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Complicated-Illusion 0x3aae…e7a0 | Yes | +80 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 18:41 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-08 11:34 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 09:40 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Irresponsible-Scale 0xa235…2472 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Yummy-Acorn-Wound 0xc11c…b9b2 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 07:19 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 17:51 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 14:25:11 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x03fcbe… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa44400… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8f99b7… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x403524… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0f3d8… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc3d9c… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x081777… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x573480… |
| 05-08 12:49:38 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a3cb5… |
| 05-08 12:49:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85321b… |
| 05-08 12:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xaae534… |
| 05-08 11:34:43 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x93f240… |
| 05-08 10:00:27 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x7f0d9f… |
| 05-08 09:40:21 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x0f6a67… |
| 05-08 08:00:27 | Crushing-Roar 0xf767…f052 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $249 | 0x8f7290… |
| 05-08 07:19:02 | Yummy-Acorn-Wound 0xc11c…b9b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x7d9078… |
| 05-08 04:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x84c2…c908 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x7fd627… |
| 05-08 03:14:53 | Perfumed-Devastation 0x64f6…15a2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0ef8e… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf82caf… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe98721… |
| 05-07 21:36:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c185b… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6fad57… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda805b… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x032afb… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xfd6b03… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x50e2dc… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb596ce… |
| 05-07 21:13:18 | Irresponsible-Scale 0xa235…2472 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd2a974… |
| 05-07 18:41:19 | Complicated-Illusion 0x3aae…e7a0 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb21d57… |
| 05-07 15:42:02 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf67591… |
| 05-07 11:16:03 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xedf656… |
| 05-07 07:54:24 | Webbed-Fava 0x1425…d60d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc35cd9… |
| 05-06 17:51:38 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9d3dcf… |
| 05-06 17:06:43 | Unfolded-Psychology 0x36f4…7518 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5ac2fe… |