Lisbon: Francesco Passaro vs Gastao Elias | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$39,225

Trades

580

Unique wallets

158

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-26

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-20 15:55

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Gleeful-Cauliflower +16,164 Powerless-Savannah +3,947 Bare-Synonym-Goggles +2,270 (anon) +1,005 (anon) +617 Sympathetic-Back +534 (anon) +516 (anon) +434

NO holders

Glaring-Salt +14,628 (anon) +4,405 Shallow-Team +2,000 Sympathetic-Back +1,840 Silent-Recess +1,324 Cooked-Freezing +1,178 Gleeful-Cauliflower +1,064 (anon) +992

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -2.1¢ (top1%: 92% YES on $25.3K vs crowd: 94% YES on $36.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	56	$28.7K	$1.6K	+$27.0K
🐬 Dolphin	44	$4.2K	$651	+$3.5K
🐟 Fish	35	$1.1K	$21	+$1.1K
🦐 Shrimp	23	$491	$31	+$461

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	49	$23.2K	$2.1K	+$21.1K
🏆 Top 5%	24	$1.5K	$42	+$1.5K
✅ Top 10%	11	$847	$4	+$843
Median	6	$51	$10	+$41
Below median	21	$727	$17	+$710
⚠️ Bottom 10%	13	$747	$5	+$742
🔻 Bottom 5%	12	$1.5K	$4	+$1.5K
💀 Bottom 1%	22	$5.9K	$112	+$5.8K

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7	Francesco Passaro	+16,164	$15,517	$15,517	21	10-20 15:18
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	Gastao Elias	+14,628	$601	$601	17	10-20 15:13
(anonymous) 0x821d…cf16	Gastao Elias	+4,405	$181	$181	32	10-20 15:28
Powerless-Savannah 0x5268…135d	Francesco Passaro	+3,947	$3,767	$3,767	7	10-20 15:05
Bare-Synonym-Goggles 0xef29…2f1e	Francesco Passaro	+2,270	$2,158	$2,158	6	10-20 15:07
Shallow-Team 0x5d76…9168	Gastao Elias	+2,000	$260	$260	9	10-19 18:09
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Gastao Elias	+1,840	$113	$113	15	10-20 15:29
Silent-Recess 0x365f…706a	Gastao Elias	+1,324	$69	$69	3	10-20 14:55
Cooked-Freezing 0x6bae…e6c5	Gastao Elias	+1,178	$101	$101	3	10-20 15:09
Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7	Gastao Elias	+1,064	$50	$50	8	10-20 15:35
(anonymous) 0x1c70…caf0	Francesco Passaro	+1,005	$1,000	$1,000	1	10-20 15:29
(anonymous) 0x7c1e…bab3	Gastao Elias	+992	$33	$33	9	10-20 15:01
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	Gastao Elias	+773	$6	$6	4	10-20 15:33
Irresponsible-Autumn 0xd9e0…05f2	Gastao Elias	+762	$69	$69	1	10-20 14:33
(anonymous) 0xaeb9…59f9	Gastao Elias	+623	$19	$19	9	10-20 15:32
(anonymous) 0xaeb9…59f9	Francesco Passaro	+617	$599	$599	9	10-20 15:33
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Francesco Passaro	+534	$477	$579	7	10-20 14:51
(anonymous) 0x364e…b7c5	Francesco Passaro	+516	$418	$418	1	10-19 09:33
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	Francesco Passaro	+434	$410	$410	6	10-20 15:22
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	Gastao Elias	+414	$15	$15	4	10-20 14:54
(anonymous) 0x571f…1d37	Gastao Elias	+400	$13	$13	6	10-20 14:56
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	Francesco Passaro	+382	$368	$368	1	10-20 15:09
Fearful-Banana 0xca3f…8078	Francesco Passaro	+337	$293	$293	2	10-20 12:15
(anonymous) 0x8840…0b28	Francesco Passaro	+300	$300	$300	6	10-20 15:47
Hospitable-Dame 0x2d6a…8add	Gastao Elias	+287	$29	$29	3	10-20 12:52
(anonymous) 0x571f…1d37	Francesco Passaro	+260	$243	$243	3	10-20 14:51
Far-Microphone 0xb347…5166	Francesco Passaro	+241	$200	$200	2	10-18 23:20
(anonymous) 0x821d…cf16	Francesco Passaro	+233	$208	$208	6	10-20 15:25
Masculine-Tophat 0x9663…5b70	Francesco Passaro	+219	$188	$188	9	10-19 18:02
Trained-Mast 0x3e69…7a30	Francesco Passaro	+202	$200	$200	1	10-20 15:32
(anonymous) 0x1c05…bc28	Francesco Passaro	+200	$200	$200	6	10-20 15:47
(anonymous) 0x1e9b…720c	Francesco Passaro	+200	$200	$200	6	10-20 15:47
(anonymous) 0x7ffe…3a56	Francesco Passaro	+200	$200	$200	7	10-20 15:47
(anonymous) 0xcbff…b2ba	Francesco Passaro	+200	$200	$200	7	10-20 15:47
(anonymous) 0x8f95…f829	Francesco Passaro	+200	$200	$200	6	10-20 15:47
(anonymous) 0x5117…6835	Francesco Passaro	+200	$200	$200	6	10-20 15:47
(anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95	Francesco Passaro	+200	$176	$176	2	10-20 12:15
(anonymous) 0x8ab3…2f54	Gastao Elias	+200	$9	$9	2	10-20 14:53
Parched-Leadership 0x5cc8…a0e4	Gastao Elias	+200	$1	$1	4	10-20 15:33
(anonymous) 0xdc4f…9804	Francesco Passaro	+197	$174	$174	7	10-20 13:14
Feminine-Bead 0x9050…3a19	Francesco Passaro	+196	$162	$162	6	10-19 17:08
(anonymous) 0x883a…c133	Francesco Passaro	+186	$154	$154	1	10-18 23:15
(anonymous) 0x48f0…4463	Francesco Passaro	+169	$168	$168	1	10-20 15:55
(anonymous) 0xffb9…390a	Francesco Passaro	+161	$147	$1,216	26	10-20 15:35
Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0	Francesco Passaro	+160	$130	$130	1	10-19 07:26
Sophisticated-Bicycle 0xcf73…0215	Gastao Elias	+157	$16	$16	1	10-20 12:52
Dim-Attribute 0x1861…408d	Francesco Passaro	+148	$129	$129	2	10-20 12:15
(anonymous) 0x3e1a…4d5c	Gastao Elias	+135	$15	$15	1	10-20 13:14
Powerless-Savannah 0x5268…135d	Gastao Elias	+132	$8	$8	6	10-20 15:16
(anonymous) 0xffb9…390a	Gastao Elias	+128	$8	$67	37	10-20 15:35
Carefree-Significance 0x99f0…9495	Gastao Elias	+117	$11	$11	4	10-20 12:52
(anonymous) 0xa0e0…0fcb	Gastao Elias	+100	$10	$10	1	10-20 13:10
(anonymous) 0xfe1c…2c75	Gastao Elias	+80	$10	$10	1	10-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x63ff…a9bb	Gastao Elias	+70	$2	$2	2	10-20 15:35
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	Gastao Elias	+70	$6	$6	1	10-20 12:52
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Gastao Elias	+58	$3	$3	2	10-20 15:22
(anonymous) 0x25bf…ef3d	Gastao Elias	+55	$4	$4	1	10-20 15:21
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	Gastao Elias	+50	$0	$0	1	10-20 15:33
(anonymous) 0x1d1d…f2df	Gastao Elias	+50	$1	$1	1	10-20 15:30
Victorious-Frequency 0x0f76…dcc9	Gastao Elias	+50	$1	$1	1	10-20 15:35