Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 in 2026?
closed
Total volume
$2,668
Trades
54
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$0
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-01-26
last 02-05 22:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+25.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $338
vs crowd: 74% YES on $2.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1.5K | $77 | +$1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $114 | $23 | +$91 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | — | $569 | $569 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $400 | $18 | +$383 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $338 | — | +$338 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $712 | $104 | +$608 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 5 | $121 | $6 | +$114 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $19 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 8 | $806 | $546 | +$260 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | +943 | $532 | $532 | 3 | 01-30 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb80c…8cd0 | Yes | +880 | $381 | $381 | 3 | 01-30 18:57 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | +669 | $668 | $668 | 2 | 02-05 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x421b…ac12 | Yes | +510 | $413 | $413 | 3 | 02-05 20:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +496 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 02-05 20:23 |
| Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | +361 | $338 | $338 | 2 | 02-05 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | +222 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 02-05 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | +183 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | +147 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | +129 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c45…4790 | Yes | +114 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 02-05 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | +97 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 22:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +94 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 01-30 18:57 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +55 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 02-05 20:19 |
| Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | +39 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +28 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe69b…4410 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 02-02 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1534…044d | No | +22 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 01-29 12:52 |
| Scaly-Waiter 0x3a90…a100 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| Sad-Nation 0x29de…d9e6 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e54…8347 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| Surprised-Consist 0x7751…4dab | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 01-26 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1809…4eb7 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-05 20:19 |
| Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 01-26 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 20:20 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-05 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bbf…de13 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-02 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-05 22:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 22:25:11 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0xcc23c7… |
| 02-05 22:25:11 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | BUY | 108 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc23c7… |
| 02-05 22:25:11 | (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | BUY | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc23c7… |
| 02-05 22:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | BUY | 114 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a5a5a… |
| 02-05 22:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x2c45…4790 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0x9a5a5a… |
| 02-05 22:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | BUY | 183 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93e773… |
| 02-05 22:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | BUY | 147 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93e773… |
| 02-05 22:18:19 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 464 | 100¢ | $464 | 0x93e773… |
| 02-05 22:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | BUY | 129 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93e773… |
| 02-05 22:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93e773… |
| 02-05 20:23:57 | (anonymous) 0x421b…ac12 | Yes | BUY | 253 | 99¢ | $250 | 0xc06e40… |
| 02-05 20:23:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 253 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xc06e40… |
| 02-05 20:20:59 | Sad-Nation 0x29de…d9e6 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x02ab54… |
| 02-05 20:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x7e54…8347 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x02ab54… |
| 02-05 20:20:59 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x02ab54… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 336 | 94¢ | $315 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Scaly-Waiter 0x3a90…a100 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | No | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:43 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd8a6af… |
| 02-05 20:20:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 80 | 29¢ | $23 | 0x79843f… |
| 02-05 20:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x421b…ac12 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 71¢ | $103 | 0x79843f… |
| 02-05 20:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | BUY | 39 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x79843f… |
| 02-05 20:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x79843f… |
| 02-05 20:19:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 42 | 49¢ | $21 | 0xf6da55… |
| 02-05 20:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x421b…ac12 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 53¢ | $60 | 0xf6da55… |
| 02-05 20:19:33 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 55 | 47¢ | $26 | 0xf6da55… |
| 02-05 20:19:33 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xf6da55… |
| 02-05 20:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x1809…4eb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xf6da55… |
| 02-02 17:56:26 | (anonymous) 0xe69b…4410 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x445795… |
| 02-02 17:56:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 27 | 63¢ | $17 | 0x445795… |
| 02-02 03:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x9bbf…de13 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x134613… |
| 02-02 03:58:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x134613… |
| 01-30 18:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | BUY | 571 | 57¢ | $326 | 0x46e042… |
| 01-30 18:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xb80c…8cd0 | Yes | BUY | 571 | 43¢ | $246 | 0x46e042… |
| 01-30 18:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xb80c…8cd0 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 44¢ | $132 | 0x29eb7a… |
| 01-30 18:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | BUY | 300 | 56¢ | $168 | 0x29eb7a… |
| 01-30 18:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | BUY | 72 | 54¢ | $39 | 0x067e6a… |
| 01-30 18:57:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 46¢ | $33 | 0x067e6a… |
| 01-29 12:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x1534…044d | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xac3664… |
| 01-29 12:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x51bd…38fc | No | SELL | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xac3664… |
| 01-29 12:19:30 | (anonymous) 0x51bd…38fc | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xd58660… |
| 01-29 12:19:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xd58660… |
| 01-28 12:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x1534…044d | No | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x45cf04… |
| 01-28 12:26:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x45cf04… |
| 01-27 14:47:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xa4432f… |
| 01-27 14:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x2b56…6431 | No | SELL | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xa4432f… |
| 01-27 14:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x2b56…6431 | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xfb93f8… |
| 01-27 14:46:59 | (anonymous) 0xb80c…8cd0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xfb93f8… |
| 01-26 21:37:43 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xb058ab… |
| 01-26 21:37:43 | Surprised-Consist 0x7751…4dab | Yes | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xb058ab… |