Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 17 | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$5,062

Trades

59

Unique wallets

23

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-17

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-16 17:53

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Vain-Terrace +1,586 (anon) +765 (anon) +594 Far-Off-Airplane +455 (anon) +410 Joyous-Wrist +394 (anon) +330 (anon) +50

NO holders

Impressive-Steak +2,757 Testy-Activity +1,000 (anon) +400 (anon) +230 (anon) +94 Mammoth-Hop +40 Spirited-Priest +37 (anon) +30

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.1¢ (top1%: 1% YES on $3.2K vs crowd: 1% YES on $4.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	15	$28	$4.7K	$4.7K
🐬 Dolphin	2	$3	—	+$3
🐟 Fish	4	$5	$93	$88
🦐 Shrimp	2	$7	—	+$7

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	11	$26	$3.2K	$3.2K
🏆 Top 5%	3	$3	$10	$7
Median	1	$1	—	+$1
Below median	1	$6	—	+$6
⚠️ Bottom 10%	1	—	$998	$998
🔻 Bottom 5%	4	$5	$260	$255
💀 Bottom 1%	2	$2	$324	$322

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (23) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524	No	+2,757	$2,724	$2,724	10	10-15 05:08
Vain-Terrace 0x50a5…bafe	Yes	+1,586	$3	$3	5	10-16 17:53
Testy-Activity 0xf16f…9f16	No	+1,000	$998	$998	3	10-16 17:53
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	Yes	+765	$13	$16	5	10-16 17:53
(anonymous) 0xede3…5c07	Yes	+594	$6	$6	2	10-14 17:54
Far-Off-Airplane 0xd386…1887	Yes	+455	$5	$5	1	10-13 19:39
(anonymous) 0xf83e…4663	Yes	+410	$5	$5	2	10-15 04:17
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	No	+400	$399	$399	1	10-16 17:53
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	Yes	+394	$6	$6	3	10-15 13:11
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Yes	+330	$2	$2	3	10-16 14:37
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	No	+230	$226	$226	2	10-15 13:11
(anonymous) 0xeb6e…57fe	No	+94	$93	$93	1	10-14 17:54
(anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9	Yes	+50	$1	$1	1	10-15 04:02
Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45	No	+40	$40	$40	1	10-16 14:39
Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594	No	+37	$37	$37	1	10-16 17:34
(anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f	No	+30	$30	$30	1	10-16 17:34
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	10-12 03:29
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	10-16 14:39
Rusty-Forte 0x1ea5…dc51	No	+10	$10	$10	1	10-16 08:33
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1	No	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 17:34
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	10-16 14:39
(anonymous) 0x1387…55f8	No	+5	$5	$5	1	10-16 17:34
Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29	No	+1	$0	$253	5	10-16 14:38