Courteous-Spectacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$142

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

228

Trades

1,315

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$3.84K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-08 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 83% -$10

Other

45% 74% -$1,045

Politics

2% 57% +$2

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Sports

0% 25% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,321	-$2,252	100¢	$-2316	-$64	05-26 19:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-538	-$509	99¢	$-534	-$25	05-26 20:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-520	-$504	100¢	$-519	-$15	05-26 20:07
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-216	-$200	97¢	$-210	-$10	05-31 21:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-162	-$123	97¢	$-158	-$35	05-26 20:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+109	$100	98¢	$107	+$7	05-11 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$2.3K	0	2,321	-2,321	open	—	05-26 19:59
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$2.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	05-26 20:05
will marty supreme win best motion picture musical or comedy at the 83rd golden globes	3	$1.5K	1,504	1	+1,503	No	+$3	01-12 04:08
will hamnet win best motion picture drama at the 83rd golden globes	1	$1.5K	1,688	0	+1,688	Yes	+$188	01-12 04:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$1.3K	675	675	+0	No	+$74	05-29 20:23
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.2K	0	1,244	-1,244	No	-$11	05-29 20:26
will sarah snook all her fault win best actress limited series at the 83rd golden globes	2	$1.0K	1,062	1,062	+0	No	-$966	01-12 02:36
will the voice of hind rajab win best motion picture non english language at the 83rd golden globes	1	$1000	1,007	0	+1,007	No	+$7	01-12 03:08
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	19	$685	883	0	+883	Yes	-$540	01-20 22:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$509	0	538	-538	open	—	05-26 20:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$504	0	520	-520	open	—	05-26 20:07
will claude go down 0 times in march	1	$500	506	0	+506	No	+$6	03-13 20:48
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?	1	$500	503	0	+503	No	+$3	03-13 19:31
spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	3	$500	500	0	+500	Down	+$0	03-12 13:30
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	8	$481	482	0	+482	No	+$0	03-15 17:53
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 live event 1 times	5	$481	483	0	+483	Yes	+$2	01-20 22:28
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$433	0	436	-436	No	-$2	05-31 21:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 10:45 UTC	30	$317	630	0	+630	Up	-$2	02-07 10:58
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 mar	2	$310	343	0	+343	No	+$33	01-18 21:27
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 paramount 1 times	2	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	01-20 22:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:30 UTC	28	$297	600	0	+600	Up	+$3	02-10 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:30 UTC	28	$294	600	0	+600	Down	+$55	02-06 20:32
dota2 ic aur1 2026 01 18	5	$280	281	0	+281	Aurora	+$1	01-18 15:55
will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	5	$280	281	0	+281	No	+$1	03-16 14:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:15 UTC	15	$279	560	0	+560	Up	+$51	02-10 08:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$273	143	143	+0	No	+$13	05-29 20:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:00 UTC	11	$249	302	0	+302	Up	+$3	02-09 22:12
fl1 ang olm 2026 01 17 olm	2	$215	124	124	+0	Yes	+$15	01-17 20:36
will thierry mariani advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	2	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	03-15 20:19
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	1	$207	0	208	-208	No	-$1	05-31 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 23:29:47	Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xb2b668…
10-03 16:12:47	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xaf1088…
05-31 22:24:14	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x33cf01…
05-31 21:55:12	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe87d49…
05-31 21:47:04	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	436	100¢	$433	0xbe92e7…
05-31 21:46:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	216	92¢	$200	0x09a20f…
05-31 21:44:49	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x4c2a0a…
05-29 20:26:16	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,244	99¢	$1,232	0x5bed68…
05-29 20:25:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xa4267b…
05-29 20:24:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x8e46dc…
05-29 20:23:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	675	100¢	$674	0x0dc76f…
05-26 20:07:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	520	97¢	$504	0xeffd21…
05-26 20:06:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	538	95¢	$509	0xc306cd…
05-26 20:06:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	76¢	$123	0xa6dafc…
05-26 20:05:58	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,150	96¢	$1,108	0x53ab48…
05-26 20:01:18	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x943bc3…
05-26 19:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,703	97¢	$1,652	0xf91473…
05-26 19:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	379	97¢	$368	0xe68788…
05-26 19:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	240	97¢	$232	0x788870…
05-16 23:11:44	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60c859…
05-16 23:10:50	Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b33e9…
05-16 23:09:33	Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b1113…
05-16 23:08:27	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d4965…
05-16 23:07:46	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeaee88…
05-16 23:07:32	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x400fd2…
05-11 20:32:16	Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xba0e70…
05-11 20:07:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xae609f…
05-11 19:14:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x0ffa61…
05-11 19:14:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x604644…
05-11 19:12:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xc36619…
05-10 15:21:02	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbed54b…
05-10 15:17:44	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x5dbf5b…
05-10 15:12:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x48ae67…
05-10 15:09:45	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x31fe05…
05-02 11:08:16	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0xc205db…
05-02 10:52:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	570	88¢	$500	0xbc717a…
05-01 23:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x54d32a…
05-01 23:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfeb5a6…
05-01 23:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7e00da…
05-01 23:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x80bac5…
05-01 23:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x67be83…
05-01 23:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xae46ea…
05-01 23:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xddf2c4…
05-01 23:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x15c045…
05-01 23:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1c39b5…
05-01 23:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5aa390…
05-01 23:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x0cc1d2…
05-01 23:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23e7ac…
03-18 17:42:31	highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 17c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0d7156…
03-18 17:27:07	highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 17c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd5b5f5…
03-18 17:09:27	highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28cd27…
03-18 17:01:21	highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 17c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf5499…
03-17 13:02:07	highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 15c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7d79b5…
03-17 13:01:53	highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 15c	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x1cd27c…
03-17 07:40:45	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xd2705d…
03-16 14:46:15	will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8ba0ff…
03-15 22:44:25	will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5bc80d…
03-15 22:21:47	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xdcc634…
03-15 20:22:03	will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xda6c31…
03-15 20:19:11	will thierry mariani advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xea6958…
03-15 20:18:25	will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x292a5a…
03-15 17:53:39	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x75ff1c…
03-15 17:52:57	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ac2ae…
03-15 17:50:47	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa61efa…
03-15 17:42:57	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4a958f…
03-15 17:38:01	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd08143…
03-15 17:36:15	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbafc0…
03-15 17:33:59	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x600453…
03-15 17:33:23	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x38dbb1…
03-15 17:32:03	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x32d8a6…
03-15 17:31:35	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3ede7…
03-15 17:30:09	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a451b…
03-15 17:27:57	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe63646…
03-15 17:19:29	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf427b9…
03-15 17:19:21	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2ebba…
03-15 14:32:09	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xda034b…
03-15 14:31:11	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x015c96…
03-15 14:30:01	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x396dc0…
03-15 14:29:41	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 12c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0819da…
03-15 12:30:31	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 10c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaeccb7…
03-15 12:28:59	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 11c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bdb5a…
03-15 10:39:53	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe703d7…
03-14 16:36:33	highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 12c	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe92587…
03-14 10:35:39	highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 7c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdeb7f9…
03-13 21:53:01	will thierry mariani advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a5493…
03-13 21:48:25	will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xce6a5d…
03-13 20:48:35	will claude go down 0 times in march	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xb90aea…
03-13 20:06:15	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0xa03fce…
03-13 19:31:57	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0xd2469e…
03-13 19:03:09	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x1c902b…
03-13 18:50:29	will vance say god or hell 5 times during his rocky mount visit	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x4b0323…
03-13 18:45:23	will vance say god or hell 5 times during his rocky mount visit	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x2742c0…
03-13 18:34:03	will vance say god or hell 5 times during his rocky mount visit	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc1e57b…
03-13 18:31:53	will vance say god or hell 5 times during his rocky mount visit	Yes	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0xb8c983…
03-13 18:31:23	will vance say god or hell 5 times during his rocky mount visit	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x6b3b79…
03-12 13:30:35	spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	Down	BUY	401	100¢	$401	0xbbabfb…
03-12 13:30:27	spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	Down	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf4948c…
03-12 13:30:21	spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0678ca…
03-11 14:19:13	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc994f…
03-11 14:09:27	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe3e40…