Realized P&L
-$326
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
51
Trades
220
lifetime
Volume
$9.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$227
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-21 08:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% $-1
Other
31% 37% $-325
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -100 $-123 99¢ $-99 +$24 07-16 18:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +75 $63 83¢ $63 $-0 07-20 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +90 $39 48¢ $44 +$5 07-16 22:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +42 $9 29¢ $12 +$3 07-17 02:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 86¢ $-9 $-0 07-17 13:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 33¢ $2 $-1 05-30 00:43