Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$386
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
25
1,715 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.34K
$83.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$4.51K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
50% 35% +$2,703
Other
38% 40% -$228
Tech
7% 62% +$2,834
Crypto
2% 12% +$682
Sports
2% 20% +$567
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +2,750 $519 98¢ $2.7K +$2,182 09-30 20:44
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +374 $293 96¢ $359 +$66 10-23 19:03
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +1,925 $1,137 18¢ $337 -$801 10-09 17:38
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +500 $316 53¢ $265 -$51 10-16 20:12
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +3,500 $245 4¢ $143 -$101 08-01 14:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,500 $382 8¢ $127 -$255 07-11 01:14
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,500 $142 4¢ $102 -$40 06-03 12:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -2,500 -$350 4¢ $-96 +$254 06-07 00:37
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +3,641 $89 2¢ $89 +$1 07-25 11:34
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -323 -$101 14¢ $-45 +$55 07-26 13:52
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +2,250 $429 2¢ $38 -$391 10-09 17:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,100 $181 2¢ $38 -$143 10-05 03:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $200 3¢ $32 -$168 06-07 13:23
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +33 $25 87¢ $29 +$4 10-05 20:32
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +1,791 $84 2¢ $28 -$56 07-17 07:06
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +1,319 $156 2¢ $22 -$134 10-14 18:25
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +500 $45 3¢ $16 -$29 06-21 23:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +250 $38 6¢ $15 -$22 06-21 23:47
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -126 -$57 11¢ $-13 +$44 05-04 08:40
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +500 $40 2¢ $8 -$32 10-05 20:48
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,128 $1 0¢ $4 +$3 10-21 18:38