Tough-Garter 0x03c811…a30e01
3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$842
Unrealized P&L
+$361
Hit rate
28.4%
Resolved (30d)
18
Trades (30d)
146
1,723 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$20.9K
$85.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$3.05K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
50% 35% +$2,703
Other
39% 40% -$228
Tech
7% 62% +$2,834
Crypto
2% 12% +$682
Sports
2% 20% +$567
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +2,100 -$101 99¢ $2.1K +$2,176 10-29 17:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +1,925 $1,137 12¢ $241 -$897 10-09 17:38
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +3,500 $245 3¢ $121 -$124 08-01 14:40
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,500 $142 4¢ $98 -$45 06-03 12:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -2,500 -$350 3¢ $-83 +$268 06-07 00:37
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +182 $178 38¢ $69 -$109 10-29 17:35
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +10,000 $84 1¢ $65 -$19 10-31 00:55
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -323 -$101 18¢ $-58 +$42 07-26 13:52
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +1,319 $156 3¢ $38 -$118 10-14 18:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $200 3¢ $34 -$166 06-07 13:23
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +2,250 $429 1¢ $29 -$400 10-09 17:44
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +33 $25 87¢ $29 +$4 10-05 20:32
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +1,791 $84 2¢ $28 -$56 07-17 07:06
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +500 $45 5¢ $24 -$20 06-21 23:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,100 $181 1¢ $24 -$157 10-05 03:04
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +250 $38 6¢ $15 -$22 06-21 23:47
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -126 -$57 11¢ $-14 +$43 05-04 08:40
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,128 $1 0¢ $3 +$2 10-21 18:38
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +500 $40 0¢ $1 -$39 10-05 20:48