Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$431
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved (90d)
32
Trades (90d)
216
1,720 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$27.0K
$84.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$3.02K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 19:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
50% 35% +$2,703
Other
39% 40% -$228
Tech
7% 62% +$2,834
Crypto
2% 12% +$682
Sports
2% 20% +$567
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +2,100 -$101 98¢ $2.1K +$2,166 10-29 17:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +1,925 $1,137 12¢ $241 -$897 10-09 17:38
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +3,500 $245 4¢ $131 -$114 08-01 14:40
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,500 $142 5¢ $120 -$22 06-03 12:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -2,500 -$350 3¢ $-81 +$269 06-07 00:37
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +182 $178 36¢ $67 -$112 10-29 17:35
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -323 -$101 16¢ $-53 +$47 07-26 13:52
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +1,319 $156 3¢ $38 -$118 10-14 18:25
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +2,250 $429 2¢ $36 -$393 10-09 17:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $200 4¢ $36 -$164 06-07 13:23
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,100 $181 2¢ $35 -$146 10-05 03:04
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +33 $25 90¢ $30 +$5 10-05 20:32
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +1,791 $84 2¢ $28 -$56 07-17 07:06
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +500 $45 5¢ $24 -$20 06-21 23:44
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -126 -$57 12¢ $-15 +$42 05-04 08:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +250 $38 6¢ $14 -$24 06-21 23:47
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +500 $40 1¢ $6 -$34 10-05 20:48
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,128 $1 0¢ $4 +$3 10-21 18:38